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1 Jul 2025 - 10k Words | June 2025

By: Equitable Investors
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10k Words

Equitable Investors

June 2025


Apparently, Confucius did not say "One Picture is Worth Ten Thousand Words" after all. It was an advertisement in a 1920s trade journal for the use of images in ads on the sides of streetcars...

Fund managers liking Europe over US; ASX defence thematic flying high; defence spend growth v AI capex; Australasian M&A flying but Aussie business conditions flagging as government spend drives economy; global M&A multiples; hedge funds back in favour; "Trump Always Chickens Out" (TACO) and the path of the effective US tariff rate.

Fund managers' positioning v. history (net % overweight)

 

Source: Bank of America Fund Manager Survey June 2025


Relative price action of ASX defence-exposed stocks & VanEck Global Defence ETF (DFND)

 

Source: Equitable Investors, Koyfin


Global defence spending 2020-2024

 

Source: Franklin Templeton, International Institute of Strategic Studies


Impact of higher defence spend on level of EU real GDP

 

Source: European Commission


Big Tech's capital expenditure driven by AI investment ($US billion)

 

Source: Financial Times


Australasia M&A in USD by quarter

 

Source: WSJ, LSEG


Australasia M&A in USD by sector

 

Source: WSJ, LSEG


NAB business survey show Aus business conditions declining

 

Source: IFM, NAB

 


Median global buyout entry multiples (purchase price / EBITDA)

 

Source: McKinsey, @MebFaber


Hedge funds experience strongest quarter of net flows since 2021

 

Source: with.intelligence


"Trump Always Chickens Out" (TACO) stories on the Bloomberg terminal

Source: Bloomberg


The shifting effective tarrif rate on US imports (percentage points)

Source: Apollo Global Management

June 2025 Edition


Funds operated by this manager:

Equitable Investors Dragonfly Fund


Disclaimer

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