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14 Mar 2018 - Performance Report: ARCO Absolute Trust (formerly Optimal)

By: Australian Fund Monitors
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Report Date14 March 2018
ManagerARCO Investment Management
Fund NameARCO Absolute Trust (formerly Optimal)
StrategyEquity Long/Short
Latest Return DateFebruary 2018
Latest Return-1.16%
Latest 6 Months7.11%
Latest 12 Months10.36%
Latest 24 Months12.43%
Annualised Since Inception8.35%
Inception Date15 September 2008
FUM (millions)AU$140
Fund OverviewThe investment objective of the Fund is to seek to achieve above average returns in absolute terms, through investing in listed securities in Australia and New Zealand, subject to the overarching requirement of capital preservation. Investments will predominantly be in equity securities but may include fixed interest instruments, money market instruments, derivatives and foreign exchange contracts.

The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns.

*Formerly the Optimal Australia Absolute Trust
Manager CommentsThe ARCO Absolute Trust fell -1.16% in February. Since inception in September 2008, the Fund has returned +8.35% per annum with a volatility of 3.75%. By contrast, the ASX200 Accumulation Index has returned +6.34% per annum with an annualised volatility of 13.49% over the same period. The Fund's up-capture and down-capture ratios since inception indicate that, on average, the Fund has achieved positive performance in rising markets and significantly outperformed in falling markets. This, along with the Fund's Sortino ratio of 2.89 versus the Index's 0.33, highlights the Fund's focus on capital preservation.

In February, the Fund's long portfolio recorded its first negative month and the short portfolio gave back some of its January gains. ARCO noted they ended the month with a neutral market exposure, and that they believe the local equity market has a downward bias. ARCO further diversified the Funds long positions, extended their exposure to Index Futures as additional portfolio 'insurance' and remain busy with short-theses as prices track back to an unhealthy premium to their fair value. The Fund continues to focus on minimising investor drawdown exposure, the risks for which ARCO believe are steadily rising.

ARCO maintain that the best days of passive beta are behind us in this cycle and that too much money is placed on the same equity 'bets' with global inflation and interest rates trending upward. They believe more volatility spikes are the likely outcome looking forward. ARCO continue to look at market data pointing to a local property market correction that is already underway, with specific reference to a slump in residential building approvals, declining consumer sentiment and still-falling credit supply as recent economic indicators of this.
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