Who's buying the Aussie $??
There are a few people scratching their heads this week, wondering what's pushing the A$ towards US$0.93 when most of them are of the view that it's heading towards $0.83. Of course it may well be a temporary correction having fallen over 15%, or it might be a reflection that the market feels that the next move from the RBA will be up, even if not in the short term. Alternatively there's the view that there might be stimulus package in the offing in China in an attempt to head off a slowdown in the event of a credit crunch.
Whatever the reason, and whoever is buying, it is probably frustrating Australia's export efforts, as well as some local fund managers investing in global equities, as the rise in the A$ has been widespread. Many of those same managers have had the benefit of a falling currency adding to the returns from buoyant US equity markets, so March results from that sector will be of interest, especially given the inflows to some of the larger managers such as Magellan and Platinum over the past 12 to 24 months.
Meanwhile, this week Deloitte Access Economics released a report which focussed on the five industry sectors which they expect to drive the growth of the Australian economy over the next 20 years. Needless to say the financial services sector was one of them, along with gas, agribusiness, international education and tourism, with a number of demographic and other factors behind the prediction.
"With the combination of the world getting older and wealth in our region continuing to grow - wealth management services will continue to be in high demand," Deloitte wealth management leader Neil Brown said. "This offers the Australian industry the perfect opportunity to trade on its expertise and the probity of its wealth management sector."
By 2030, three billion people in Asia will join the middle class and by 2050 the region will account for more than half the world's financial assets. Brown said this combination, together with Australia's domestic success in building the fourth largest superannuation asset pool in the world, is an attractive proposition to both the domestic and the growing Asian middle classes.
We certainly concur regarding the opportunity for the financial services industry, with technology and communications reducing Australia's previous limitations of distance. However potential is one thing, achieving it is another. If Australia is to succeed in the financial services sector on a global rather than merely a local stage, the structural and regulatory environment has to be in place, including a level taxation playing field for offshore investors.
In that regard the Financial System Inquiry headed up by the former head of CBA David Murray is perfectly timed to make appropriate recommendations when it reports to the Treasurer in November of this year. This week the government announced the addition of four overseas members of the inquiry, including Sir Michael Hintze, one of Australia's most successful hedge fund managers whose $13 billion CQS Global Multi Strategy Asset Management business is based in London.
While confident that David Murray and his panel will come up with the solutions, the challenge will be to see if the current Government implement their findings. Sadly their predecessor's failed to make the most of the opportunities provided by the the Henry Tax Review, and Mark Johnson's "Australia as a Financial Centre" report before it.
Specific results received this week include the following PERFORMANCE and NEWS UPDATES:
Auscap's Long Short Australian Equities Fund had strong performance during February to return 5.32% (ASX 200 Acc 4.97%) bringing annual returns to an impressive 58.90% (Index 10.56%).
The KIS Asia Long Short Fund returned 1.76% during February and 15.99% (10.56% Index) for the previous twelve months with a volatility of 2.71% as compared to 11.49% for the ASX 200 Acc Index.
Pengana Asia Special Events (Onshore) Fund recorded 0.48% during February and 11.76% for the preceding twelve months with a very low standard deviation of 2.39%.
The Cor Capital Fund benefited from buoyant asset markets to return 2.34% during February with positive performances from all the underlying assets. .
Laminar's Credit Opportunities Fund returned 0.57% during February and a creditable 11.93% for the prior 12 months with a volatility of 2.71%.
Updated FUND REVIEWS released this week included:
Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund. The Fund is characterised by steady returns and very low risk. The Fund returned 2.69% during February and since inception (May 2006) the Fund has returned 13.85%
27-29 March 2014: Superannuation Fund Back Office: 2014 Forum in Sydney convenes those responsible for superannuation member administration and investment operation services. It has been designed to explore emerging efficiencies and best practice in a number of key areas.
Tuesday 1 April 2014: The Future of Financial Services Regulation breakfast seminar at Cockle Bay, Sydney. At this upcoming Leaders Series breakfast, Money Management and Super Review will bring together key players involved in this inquiry, including the deputy chairman of ASIC, Peter Kell, and one of the politicians at the centre of the Parliamentary Inquiry into ASIC, Senator David Bushby. They will provide unique insights into what the future of the financial services regulator will look like and the implications which may flow from the Financial Systems Review.
Tuesday 1 April 2014: AdventConnect 2014, Sydney. Stay up to date on industry trends with fresh insights from industry thought leaders, fund managers, and the executive management team at Advent Technology. Also in Melbourne on Thursday 3 April.
If you know of any upcoming hedge fund industry Events, or would like your Event listed in our calendar, please contact us.
And now for something completely different this week, perhaps you use some medication? Have a laugh at Mr Bean.
On that note, I hope you have a safe and happy weekend.
Best wishes,
Chris
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS
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