Amongst the renewed optimism that has taken hold of Australian equity markets it is often overlooked that the ASX200 has only had one negative return in the last fourteen months. Most investors recognise that the current rally began last July, but forget the pessimism that permeated the market in the first half of 2012.
With this in mind it is worth reading AFM's reviews of the absolute return sector in Australia, one covering 2012, and the other taking in longer term over five and ten years. Most readers will be aware that in 2012 the equity market (as measured by the ASX200 Accumulation Index) outperformed both the average and the majority of funds, but over the longer term the picture is quite different.
The five and ten year review, entitled Volatility eats Returns, shows that over five years the average fund (net of fees) clearly outperformed the ASX200 Index with less volatility, while over ten years funds and the ASX200 Accumulation Index both returned 10%, but once again funds had half the volatility.
The devil of course is in the detail, and the use of averages. The best performing funds can, and do provide the "high return, low risk" returns the marketing likes to promote, while the worst provide the hedge fund headlines the media love to quote. And just to confuse the issue, different strategies and funds perform differently in differing macro economic conditions. Finding the elusive all weather performer is not easy.
Both reports are available here.
Enjoy your week-end.
Regards,
Chris.