Fast food profits Can the Commonwealth Bank of

Australia's share price rally continue into FY25?

Montgomery Investment Management

August 2024

Our domestic large-cap funds have maintained an underweight position in the banks, and even though the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) was, for a time, our largest position, being underweight in the sector has cost relative performance thanks to the Commonwealth Bank of Australia's share price rallying as much as 23 per cent year-to-date and 35 per cent last financial year. 

Our reasoning is relatively straightforward; first, with each bank's position in Australia's banking oligopoly relatively stable - thanks in part to customer inertia and living on an island, and with each one constantly eyeing the others, we find their market shares and relative operating performances rarely vary much in absolute or relative terms. Therefore, trying to pick the short-term outperformance consistently successfully of one bank over the others has often proven to be a fool's errand. 

Secondly, and importantly, we have not identified a "change" trigger among the banks that justifies significant share price outperformance. Therefore, we do not believe the banks' outperformance can be repeated in 2025. For the major banks, competition remains intense, especially for home loans, and underlying demand for home and business loans is subdued, reflecting moribund economic activity. 

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia's FY24 cash earnings were higher than consensus analyst expectations, and pre-provisioning operating profit (PPOP) was in line with consensus estimates, driven by higher than anticipated net interest margin (NIM - more on that in a moment). Overall, the result was broadly in line with modest loan growth, expense growth of three per cent, and below-average bad debt expenses. The final ordinary dividend per share was 250 cents, 10 cents higher than analyst expectations and it takes the full-year dividend to $4.65, which is 3.3 per cent up on the previous year. Notably, the dividend reinvestment plan (DRP) will be done with no discount and will be offset by an on-market buyback.  

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia's FY24 Common Equity Tier 1 capital (CET1) ratio, was 12.3 per cent and 19.1 per cent on an internationally comparable basis. CET1 is a capital measure that was introduced in 2014 as a protective precaution to head off another financial crisis. In the event of a crisis, equity is taken first from Tier 1, which includes liquid bank holdings such as cash and stock.  

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia's resilience in maintaining its net interest margin (NIM) was a notable highlight in today's results. However, there were some early warning signs, including a potential decline in asset quality, driven by expected pressures on real household disposable income, and a resurgence in mortgage competition. 

For what it's worth, your author believes we will sidestep a recession this year and the reported slump in consumption will stabilise.  

From a valuation perspective, it's interesting to observe that while the Commonwealth Bank of Australia estimates its market-implied cost of equity to be around 8 per cent (I note many share market investors are using lower rates to justify stock market valuations for much riskier companies). However, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia maintains an internal cost of capital hurdle at 10 per cent.  

Investors are using lower rates to justify investing in the Commonwealth Bank of Australia at current prices. By lowering the discount rate, we can dream up a valuation for the Commonwealth Bank of Australia that is close to the price, but the company's prospects aren't as bright as many other companies also listed on the ASX. We view the Commonwealth Bank of Australia's valuation as reasonable but not cheap. Additionally, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is much higher than has been historically evident, even taking into account its status as the premier bank with the best economic business performance.  As an aside we think analysts fretting over substantially rising bad debts (credit losses) are misguided - there's plenty of room to cut rates quickly if animal spirits need to be stirred.

Author: Roger Montgomery

Funds operated by this manager:

Montgomery (Private) Fund, Montgomery Small Companies Fund, The Montgomery Fund

The Evolution and Benefits of Equity Income Funds in Australia's Growing Retirement Market

Merlon Capital Partners

August 2024

Australia's growing retirement-age population has seen an increase in demand for and the availability of equity income funds over the last few decades. Australia's unique dividend imputation system means investors can successfully derive meaningful income as well as capital growth from holding Australian equities. Equity income strategies regularly make up a large component of the equity allocation for income-focused clients who seek a more defensive asset mix.

Equity income funds have evolved significantly over time, beginning in the 1990s, with MLC and Colonial First State (now First Sentier Investors) launching equity income products. These initial products were not specifically focused on paying a regular, smoothed, tax-effective income but rather designed to grow capital before retirement to provide income once in retirement. The mid-2000s saw the equity income fund reimagined, designed specifically to meet retiree's key objectives - income generation, volatility management and capital growth over time. A number of managers developed products to meet these objectives at this time.

The wake of the GFC saw growing recognition of the importance of total return generation from income, limiting the need to sell down holdings during market downturns. As a result, the equity income space continued to grow and through the 2010s, various managers launched new income funds, often with full market exposure. Additionally, with the rising popularity in passive investing through the 2010s, income-focused ETFs also emerged from leading ETF providers with the goal of generating income that exceeds the dividend yield offered by the broader market. With an aging population, the addressable market for equity income funds is only growing. Whilst not all equity income funds remain in existence today, there are a variety to choose from with over 15 Australian fund managers offering a product in this space.

The need for regular income in retirement is well known and there are various ways to meet cashflow requirements. However, many of these tend to overlook the particularities of retirement. While fixed income products can help to meet an income objective, they fail to provide capital growth to protect against the impacts of inflation. A diminishing capital value on a real basis is inconsistent with the desire of many retirees for a growing capital base for both peace of mind and to leave an inheritance. Another option is to pursue an equity strategy centred solely on capital growth and simply selling down holdings when cashflow is required, rather than investing in income-generating investments. Yet, this ignores the fact that retirees are much more impacted by periods of drawdown than other investors, especially early in their retirement, amplified by their obligation to draw out from accounts when in pension phase. The GFC market crash and COVID-19 selloff in early 2020 demonstrated the serious consequences of needing to sell at an inopportune time and its long-term impact on total return. Skewing the components of equity total return to income removes the need to sell investments to raise cash when required. Proposed alternatives to equity income also ignore the value of franked dividends, which for retirees in pension phase present significantly more value than unfranked income or capital gains. Australian equity income strategies, when structured and executed appropriately, can provide strong total returns over time through attractive dividend yields and without sacrificing capital growth.

The Merlon Australian Share Income Fund was launched in 2005 and led the innovation of contemporary equity income funds. It was the first product of its kind, aiming to provide above-market income with franking, grow capital over time with lower risk than the market. The non-benchmark portfolio has a high active share, blending well with both passive and direct share portfolios which are typically overweight large cap stocks. The Fund delivers above market income, the majority from franked dividends, paid monthly and has demonstrated strong risk-adjusted returns over multiple time periods. The strategy features a risk reduction overlay to insulate the Fund during periods of drawdown whilst retaining 100% of the franked dividend income generated from the underlying portfolio.

Funds operated by this manager:

Merlon Australian Share Income Fund, Merlon Concentrated Australian Share Fund

Disclaimer
Equity Trustees Limited ("EQT") (ABN 46 004 031 298), AFSL 240975, is the Responsible Entity for the Insync Global Quality Fund and the Insync Global Capital Aware Fund. EQT is a subsidiary of EQT Holdings Limited (ABN 22 607 797 615), a publicly listed company on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: EQT). This information has been prepared by Insync Funds Management Pty Ltd (ABN 29 125 092 677, AFSL 322891) ("Insync"), to provide you with general information only. In preparing this information, we did not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. It is not intended to take the place of professional advice and you should not take action on specific issues in reliance on this information. Neither Insync, EQT nor any of its related parties, their employees or directors, provide and warranty of accuracy or reliability in relation to such information or accepts any liability to any person who relies on it. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future performance. You should obtain a copy of the Product Disclosure Statement before making a decision about whether to invest in this product.

Emerging Middle Class Megatrend 

Insync Fund Managers

August 2024

The era of blindly betting on Western brands to tap into China's burgeoning consumer market is over. Once considered no-brainers, global titans like L'Oreal, Nike and Starbucks are finding their footing increasingly precarious. Despite the allure of its growing middle class the dynamics at play are more nuanced than ever. New generation of Chinese consumers are flexing their economic muscle. No longer in favour of the imported brands that once dominated their preferences they have rotated towards domestic brands that speak to their cultural identity and nationalist pride.

LVMH, a beacon of luxury with its Sephora chain, has had to slim down operations in China--a stark indicator of this shifting landscape. Domestic players, such as Anta Sports, are not only catching up but surpassing Western rivals like Adidas in market share. Meanwhile, coffee giant Starbucks, a symbol of Western lifestyle, is ceding ground to local competitors like Luckin Coffee, which captivates the market with aggressive pricing and expansive growth recently surpassing 20,000 stores. The same story echoes across most industries: global brands are no longer the default choice for Chinese consumers. Companies must now navigate a complex web of local preferences, cultural trends, and rising nationalism inside China. Simply assuming that Chinese spending power will translate to Western profits is dangerous. When investing in such global brands, understanding how these nuanced drivers impact stock values and acknowledging that what worked yesterday may not hold sway tomorrow, is now crucial.

Founded only in 2017, Luckin Coffee quickly challenged Starbucks in China with lower prices, discounts, and drinks tailored to Chinese tastes, like the coconut latte and collaborations with local brands. By aligning with the "Guochao" trend, Luckin appeals to younger, cost-conscious consumers and benefits from the preference for local brands. With 20,000 stores versus Starbucks' 7,000+, Luckin dominates China's coffee market. Meanwhile, Starbucks reported an 8% revenue decline in its most recent results.

Funds operated by this manager:

Insync Global Capital Aware Fund, Insync Global Quality Equity Fund

Disclaimer
Equity Trustees Limited ("EQT") (ABN 46 004 031 298), AFSL 240975, is the Responsible Entity for the Insync Global Quality Fund and the Insync Global Capital Aware Fund. EQT is a subsidiary of EQT Holdings Limited (ABN 22 607 797 615), a publicly listed company on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: EQT). This information has been prepared by Insync Funds Management Pty Ltd (ABN 29 125 092 677, AFSL 322891) ("Insync"), to provide you with general information only. In preparing this information, we did not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. It is not intended to take the place of professional advice and you should not take action on specific issues in reliance on this information. Neither Insync, EQT nor any of its related parties, their employees or directors, provide and warranty of accuracy or reliability in relation to such information or accepts any liability to any person who relies on it. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future performance. You should obtain a copy of the Product Disclosure Statement before making a decision about whether to invest in this product.

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Hedge Clippings | 06 September 2024

In last week's Hedge Clippings we "expected that the phone lines would be running hot between Jim Chalmers and the RBA to encourage a rate fall" following the July CPI figure. While we're pretty sure the phone lines did in fact run hot, what we didn't expect from the Treasurer was a broadside delivered via multiple media appearances, including his now infamous claim that the RBA was smashing the economy with high interest rates.

The government is obviously keen not to be seen as responsible for any household financial pain, but such a direct and openly critical comment - although he subsequently denied that it was meant as criticism - made the issue very public, which it was no doubt intended to do.

As we've previously commented, the government and the RBA are each pulling on the opposite ends of the same rope. The RBA is trying to curb inflation by keeping rates elevated and reducing demand, while the government is trying to offset the effects of inflation by increased spending, supporting above CPI wage increases, and handouts, subsidies, and tax cuts for all.

Having dispensed with the former governor, Philip Lowe, and replaced him with his deputy, Chalmers finds there's been no change in policy, or message - only the messenger. Meanwhile the message was reinforced again on Thursday by Michele Bullock with a speech given at the annual Anika Foundation lunch entitled "The Cost of High Inflation" which not only suggested there would be no easing before Christmas, but that it would be 2026 before the bank's inflation target was met.

She was careful to emphasise that conditions, or the numbers, may change between now and then, in which case the RBA would adjust policy settings accordingly. While that might suggest an earlier timeline for easing if conditions allow, it could also mean the opposite.

Meanwhile, we expect Jim Chalmers to continue with his line that the government is doing all that it can to help stretched household budgets - which it is - but it is certainly not helping the RBA fight the costs of high inflation. Of course he also has one eye (or maybe both) on the upcoming election. Rather than continue the public spat he started, it seems Dr. Chalmers called for some back-up in the form of ex (Labor of course) treasurer Wayne Swan, who maintained the pugilistic tone by accusing the RBA of "punching itself in the face" and so continuing the issue.

Chalmers and Swan may be trying to shift the blame for household mortgage pain, but borrowers don't seem to be pulling their collective heads in based on housing finance statistics released today by the RBA. Investors led the charge, with new investor loans up by 35% over July, 2023, new owner occupied loans increased by 21%, and owner occupied first home buyer loans were up 19.7%. As the ABS noted, these numbers were only partially driven by higher property prices.

So in between accusations of "smashing the economy", and "punching itself in the face", the RBA is steadfast in its fight against inflation, the government is pouring more fuel into the economy, while the property market - or at least the financiers of it and real estate agents - aren't taking any notice.

Finally on the political front, Bill "Wee Willy" Shorten announced his exit this week, having tried, but never made it to the lodge, in large part due to his policy to cancel franking credits in the lead up to the 2019 election, when he and shadow treasurer Bowen "misread" the level of investor anxiety about the move. Yet another case of politicians being totally out of touch with both the electorate, and common sense.

Even so, maybe Shorten can see the writing on the wall for the next election?

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August Reporting Season - Week Three Update

Tyndall Asset Management

August 2024

Funds operated by this manager:

Tyndall Australian Share Concentrated Fund, Tyndall Australian Share Income Fund, Tyndall Australian Share Wholesale Fund

Can utilities solve the renewable energy storage problem?

Janus Henderson Investors

August 2024

Funds operated by this manager:

Janus Henderson Australian Fixed Interest Fund, Janus Henderson Australian Fixed Interest Fund - Institutional, Janus Henderson Cash Fund - Institutional, Janus Henderson Conservative Fixed Interest Fund, Janus Henderson Conservative Fixed Interest Fund - Institutional, Janus Henderson Diversified Credit Fund, Janus Henderson Global Equity Income Fund, Janus Henderson Global Multi-Strategy Fund, Janus Henderson Global Natural Resources Fund, Janus Henderson Tactical Income Fund

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

Energy industries can be significantly affected by fluctuations in energy prices and supply and demand of fuels, conservation, the success of exploration projects, and tax and other government regulations.

References made to individual securities do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector, and should not be assumed to be profitable. Janus Henderson Investors, its affiliated advisor, or its employees, may have a position in the securities mentioned.

Volatility measures risk using the dispersion of returns for a given investment.

This information is issued by Janus Henderson Investors (Australia) Institutional Funds Management Limited (AFSL 444266, ABN 16 165 119 531). The information herein shall not in any way constitute advice or an invitation to invest. It is solely for information purposes and subject to change without notice. This information does not purport to be a comprehensive statement or description of any markets or securities referred to within. Any references to individual securities do not constitute a securities recommendation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.

Whilst Janus Henderson Investors (Australia) Institutional Funds Management Limited believe that the information is correct at the date of this document, no warranty or representation is given to this effect and no responsibility can be accepted by Janus Henderson Investors (Australia) Institutional Funds Management Limited to any end users for any action taken on the basis of this information. All opinions and estimates in this information are subject to change without notice and are the views of the author at the time of publication. Janus Henderson Investors (Australia) Institutional Funds Management Limited is not under any obligation to update this information to the extent that it is or becomes out of date or incorrect.

RBA minutes - inside a meeting of two-handed economists

Pendal

August 2024

IF anyone complains about RBA transparency, they are not paying attention.

The minutes from the central bank's early August meeting were released today, though I am not sure minutes is the correct word - at 3,667 words, transcript might be a better term.

Together, with the post-meeting press conference, the RBA is putting its best foot forward in communicating with the public, as encouraged by the RBA review.

There was so much to say but so little confidence in anything.

Even the new Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser chose a recent speech to warn of false prophets and said we should have little confidence in any forecasts.

In the minutes we were treated to such gems as:

• "It was not possible to either rule in or rule out future changes in the cash rate."
• "Members will rely on the data and evolving assessment of risks to guide the Boards decisions."
• "Members observed that a range of uncertainties could influence the outlook for inflation, including the evolution of the labour market, household saving behaviour and the extent of spare capacity, as well as global geopolitical developments."

However, the one thing the RBA was keen to say is that if the Board was to do anything near term it is hiking - not cutting.

It believes there is less spare capacity in the economy than previously thought. If that does not improve, then inflation will be too slow to fall.

Very little spare capacity when GDP is barely growing?

Sounds like the Board still believes we have a supply problem. Otherwise, its message could be summarised as "we need a recession to beat inflation", which is a variation of Paul Keating's "recession we had to have".

I am not sure it would want that headline.

We disagree with the RBA's current concerns, finding more agreement with the ex-RBA chief economist - now Westpac Chief economist - Luci Ellis.

She describes the RBA as "skating to where the puck used to be" due to the fact that the RBA is focused on where the labour market was, not is.

Recent data showing increasing participation and supply, falling hours worked per person, and improving real incomes means the puck has moved.

In the months ahead, the RBA should be increasingly comfortable with labour market dynamics helping lower inflation. This should change its narrative and see it follow other central banks by cutting rates early next year.

Remember, the RBA stated in February 2022 that "while inflation has picked up, it is too early to conclude it is sustainably within the target range" and that "there are uncertainties about how persistent the pick-up in inflation will be as supply side problems are resolved".

In May 2022, it hiked.

Outlook

Markets for now are largely ignoring the RBA anyway. Three-year bonds remain near 3.5% and ten-year bonds finally seem to be holding just below 4%.

At these levels, bond markets are no longer super cheap but, at the risk of becoming a two-handed fund manager, they are also not expensive. It is important to remember the cycle has turned and, when that happens, yields will trend lower for an extended period.

Author: Tim Hext

Funds operated by this manager:

This information has been prepared by Pendal Fund Services Limited (PFSL) ABN 13 161 249 332, AFSL No 431426 and is current as at December 8, 2021. PFSL is the responsible entity and issuer of units in the Pendal Multi-Asset Target Return Fund (Fund) ARSN: 623 987 968. A product disclosure statement (PDS) is available for the Fund and can be obtained by calling 1300 346 821 or visiting www.pendalgroup.com. The Target Market Determination (TMD) for the Fund is available at www.pendalgroup.com/ddo. You should obtain and consider the PDS and the TMD before deciding whether to acquire, continue to hold or dispose of units in the Fund. An investment in the Fund or any of the funds referred to in this web page is subject to investment risk, including possible delays in repayment of withdrawal proceeds and loss of income and principal invested. This information is for general purposes only, should not be considered as a comprehensive statement on any matter and should not be relied upon as such. It has been prepared without taking into account any recipient's personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this, recipients should, before acting on this information, consider its appropriateness having regard to their individual objectives, financial situation and needs. This information is not to be regarded as a securities recommendation. The information may contain material provided by third parties, is given in good faith and has been derived from sources believed to be accurate as at its issue date. While such material is published with necessary permission, and while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information is complete and correct, to the maximum extent permitted by law neither PFSL nor any company in the Pendal group accepts any responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of this information. Performance figures are calculated in accordance with the Financial Services Council (FSC) standards. Performance data (post-fee) assumes reinvestment of distributions and is calculated using exit prices, net of management costs. Performance data (pre-fee) is calculated by adding back management costs to the post-fee performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Any projections are predictive only and should not be relied upon when making an investment decision or recommendation. Whilst we have used every effort to ensure that the assumptions on which the projections are based are reasonable, the projections may be based on incorrect assumptions or may not take into account known or unknown risks and uncertainties. The actual results may differ materially from these projections. For more information, please call Customer Relations on 1300 346 821 8am to 6pm (Sydney time) or visit our website www.pendalgroup.com

What not being born and not dying is doing to investments

Insync Fund Managers

August 2024

Are we experiencing a permanent change to a major economic driver that has underpinned an investor assumption for the past 100 years? That assumption being that ever more people would be working decade to decade?

Most developed nations since the 2000's have been experiencing dramatic shifts in the makeup of their populations, spelling big challenges for societies and also for investors. It used to be commonplace that more younger people entered the workforce than left it, had two or more kids and did not live too long after retiring. This meant there was always a growing labour supply and growing tax revenues, and aged health and social care was a controllable tax-funded expense.

Not anymore.

Birth rates have been falling for decades. A 2.1 birth rate replenishes a population, anything less means decline. Australia's current 1.6 birth rate is down from 2 only 15 years ago. KPMG analysed Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) data and found 2023 had the lowest birth rate since 2006 and it is falling by 4.6% per year. Even though a drop of this magnitude occurred in the 1970s, the longer-term trend is one of decline.

This finding is echoed across the globe in Korea, Japan, Ukraine, Germany, UK, USA, Russia, China, France, Italy, Scandinavia and so on. Back in 2011, the world experienced its 'peak child' maximum population count with most of these residing in poor nations. Many towns and regional cities globally are in decline. Reducing poverty, women being able to choose whether or not to have children, and being empowered economically, have impacted birth rates. India and Indonesia are as we used to be, but they're rapidly approaching the same situation.  

Declining birth rates however are just half the issue.

The other half is that globally, according to the United Nations' UN75 project, the number of people aged 65 plus outnumber the number of children under five. They are the fastest growing age group and by 2050, will outnumber those aged 15-24.

We may reach a point where older people not working will outnumber people who are. This is because the older are living much longer and fewer children are transitioning to adulthood.

Today the life expectancy in Australia for men is around 81 and for women around 85. This compares to around 74 for men and 80 for women 30 or so years ago. Medical advances and technology mean that we are set to live older still. Stanford University research suggests that it won't be unusual for babies born in America in 2050 to live to 100. Other studies suggest that humans might one day live to 150.

In a nutshell - we are not procreating like we used to, and we are not dying like we used to either. This means fewer people building economic growth, driving demand, consuming goods and services and - paying taxes. Older people consume less in almost everything except healthcare and rely on government support far more, while paying very little tax.

To some extent a country can offset and delay the worst of demographic problems via strong immigration (Australia, Canada and the USA are examples). Over 8 years ago the German government forecast a need for a million immigrants a year for 20 years just to replace its current workforce. When they brought in the first million, riots and a government collapse was only narrowly averted. In an ever-divisive world, immigration is reliant on popular support and in any event, it is really just robbing Peter to pay Paul.

What does this all have to do with investment? I'm glad you asked.

Firstly, products, services and even entire industries that are dominant today can see their markets dry up or radically change in only a few years.

Understanding how purchasing habits are shifting in the dominant working age population of GenZers is key. Their values, drivers and preferences are different to those that today's 60-year-olds hold, and likely held, back in their late 20's to early 30's. If you're an investor in companies reliant on old brands, products or services delivered in traditional ways you will need to be extra vigilant.

Kraft is an example of a company that had not factored in the impact of demographic change. Its failure to properly invest in R&D, while pumping short term profits, spelt disaster in long term earnings as its decades old food brands no longer appealed to younger people.

But secondly, there are positives for those who look well ahead and align their portfolios to what the economic ripple effect caused by demographic change is having. For example, the megatrend known as 'the Silver Economy' made up of companies specialising in products and services for older people, especially retirees. The most obvious of these are healthcare, leisure, and pharmaceutical, but there are more obscure companies behind the scenes in such megatrends that also have the capacity to deliver handsome rewards.  

The Silver Economy is only one megatrend benefiting from tectonic demographic shifts. Others include Pet Humanisation, Trading-Down and Emerging Middle Incomes.

The challenge for investors is how to identify, then best ride the positive demographic driven megatrends already underway and reducing or even exiting those investments on the wrong side of demographic change. The rewards in doing both are substantial.

Author: Grant Pearson, Head of Strategy and Distribution

Funds operated by this manager:

Insync Global Capital Aware Fund, Insync Global Quality Equity Fund

Disclaimer
Equity Trustees Limited ("EQT") (ABN 46 004 031 298), AFSL 240975, is the Responsible Entity for the Insync Global Quality Fund and the Insync Global Capital Aware Fund. EQT is a subsidiary of EQT Holdings Limited (ABN 22 607 797 615), a publicly listed company on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: EQT). This information has been prepared by Insync Funds Management Pty Ltd (ABN 29 125 092 677, AFSL 322891) ("Insync"), to provide you with general information only. In preparing this information, we did not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. It is not intended to take the place of professional advice and you should not take action on specific issues in reliance on this information. Neither Insync, EQT nor any of its related parties, their employees or directors, provide and warranty of accuracy or reliability in relation to such information or accepts any liability to any person who relies on it. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future performance. You should obtain a copy of the Product Disclosure Statement before making a decision about whether to invest in this product.