NEWS
10 Nov 2015 - Fund Review: Meme Australian Share Fund October 2015
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The Meme Capital Management is a Perth-based boutique Fund Manager, established in 2012 and manages the Meme Australian Share Fund.
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The Fund specializes in technical and quantitative strategies to identify investment opportunities expected to provide both positive price appreciation and relative price out-performance over the medium to long term.
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The Fund's objective is to outperform the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index over rolling three year periods, through investing in ASX listed securities outside the S&P/ASX 20. The Fund only takes long positions and does not use derivatives.
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Over the past 12 months, the Fund returned positive 17.11%, versus the Index's 8.51% return.
10 Nov 2015 - The Paragon Fund
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| Fund Overview | Paragon believes that markets are not always efficient, exhibiting a common tendency to price securities well outside of their intrinsic value over the medium term. This market characteristic provides the opportunity for Paragon, an active manager with a flexible mandate, to generate superior investment returns over the longer term. Paragon believes that it is critical to understand both the companies and the industries in which they operate, in order to fully comprehend each investment opportunity. Accordingly, a fundamental approach to company research is taken. Assessing the potential downside is also paramount in framing the risk/reward trade-off for potential investments. |
| Manager Comments | Key positive contributors for October included Longs in Macquarie Group, Henderson Group, NetComm Wireless, APN Outdoor, and Amaysim while detractors included our short positions in general given the strong market. At the end of the month the Fund had 30 long positions and 15 short positions. Click below to read the latest Fund Manager's commentary. |
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9 Nov 2015 - Optimal Australia Absolute Trust
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| Fund Overview | The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns. |
| Manager Comments | The Fund was slightly net long invested during October, but reduced exposure into the rally. The Fund's return was very much driven by stock selection. The long positions strongly outperformed the market, with attribution of +4.1% on average long exposure of 52% of NAV. Key contributors included financials, retail, and commodity group. Short positions were difficult in such a strong market, with attribution of -2.1% on average short (stock) exposure of 29.4%. Click below to read the latest Fund Monthly Report. |
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7 Nov 2015 - Hedge Clippings
Title: GST reform firmly and (finally) on the agenda. What's next?
This week it seems the GST hit the press (and hopefully not the fan) in no uncertain terms. Regular readers of "Hedge Clippings" might recall that an increase (and broadening) of the GST has been one of our hobby horses since before Joe Hockey's first budget, so we'd like to think someone has at last been listening, but we might be deluding ourselves on that count. In any event now it is on the front pages it is probably time for us to move on, and leave it to Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison to battle it out with Bill Shorten. As unfair a match as that might be, we will all be heartily sick of the argument by the time of the next election.
So while reform of taxation is on the table, and reform of superannuation concessions a part of that, it is worth re-visiting the argument for tying Australia's super retirement pool to the need for increased spending on infrastructure. Taking some basic figures, the total value of Superannuation assets as at the end of June was just over $2 trillion. Research from Deloitte estimates that this will reach $7.6 trillion by 2033.
The taxation of treatment of superannuation has always been generous, partly as an incentive to encourage its initial adoption, and partly as a gift from John Howard and Peter Costello to reward the faithful along the way. There's little doubt this generosity will come under pressure in any taxation review, but the government could introduce a part carrot/part stick approach to encourage/enforce a slice of all superannuation accounts to invest in the currently underfunded infrastructure sector.
By setting a minimum percentage of all super balances (say 10%) to be invested in infrastructure bonds, with a low but steady return (say CPI plus 3-5%), with an appropriate taxation incentive for doing so, two objectives might be achieved at once. At 10% of all balances it would provide $200 billion at current levels, increasing to $760 billion by 2033. In reality at those levels there would be a shortage of projects by that time, but there could be worse problems to have.
Airports, roads, rail, water and power projects all come to mind. All it takes will be some vision, then political commitment, and finally electoral acceptance. Hopefully we now have the prospect of enough of all three to generate the debate.
As usual in the first week of each month there were limited results received, but included the following PERFORMANCE UPDATES:
FUND REVIEWS released this week: Insync Global Titans Fund; Supervised High Yield Fund
Finally we hope you enjoyed this week's Melbourne Cup, and congratulations to the first winning female jockey in the Cup's history. Now for something completely different, this news item regarding the obedient, but not too quick on his feet, bank robber in the USA.
And on that note, I trust you have a safe and enjoyable week-end.
Regards,
Chris
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS
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Registration to AFM is free and provides general information and performance data on Absolute Return, Hedge Funds and Alternative Investments. |
Fund Managers and paid Subscribers have access to details on Individual Managers and Funds, with historical results, key performance indicators, latest news and performance reports. |
Prism Select provides self-directed investors and their advisors with factual information, performance data and opportunity to apply for funds online using OLIVIA123. |
Tune into Sky Business on Foxtel every week on Monday at 2:15pm for AFM's weekly comment. |
6 Nov 2015 - Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund
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| Fund Overview | In a typical environment the Fund will hold around 70 stocks comprising 35 pairs. Each pair contains one long and one short position each of which will have been thoroughly researched and are selected from the same market sector. Whilst in an ideal environment each stock's position will make a positive return, it is the relative performance of the pair that is important. As a result the Fund can make positive returns when each stock moves in the same direction provided the long position outperforms the short one in relative terms. However, if neither side of the trade is profitable, strict controls are required to ensure losses are limited. The Fund uses no derivatives and has no currency exposure. The Fund has no hard stop loss limits, instead relying on the small average position size per stock (1.5%) and per pair (3%) to limit exposure. Where practical pairs are always held within the same sector to limit cross sector risk, and positions can be held for months or years. The Bennelong Market Neutral Fund, with same strategy and liquidity is available for retail investors. |
| Manager Comments | The Fund performance featured 18 profitable pairs from a total of 31. Also, the top and bottom 3 pairs combined accounted for 13% of the net return, with 87% coming from the broader portfolio. Fund performance was soft over the first 3 weeks of the month on limited news flow, but then performed strongly in the last week from a wave of company specific trading updates. Click below to read the Fund Manager's commentary and future market outlook. |
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5 Nov 2015 - Meme Australian Share Fund
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| Fund Overview | The Fund's investment strategy seeks to identify low-risk entry opportunities and then build positions in these stocks. Once established in the portfolio, individual stock holdings are maintained for as long as their long-term upward trend remains intact and while they continue to make positive contributions to portfolio growth. Positions are reduced and ultimately closed out as their trends become exhausted or as their relative long-term performance against the broad market weakens. The Fund believes that longer time frame investments also provide a number of advantages. The effect of false signals and 'noise' which attend shorter term time frames is mitigated by only attending to signals which are confirmed by our longer term assessments. Also, the Fund gains exposure to the more expansive price trends which can last for months and years, allowing dividends and distributions received during this time to further enhance portfolio returns. |
| Manager Comments | In October, some of the Fund's stronger performing stocks gave new opportunities and therefore the Fund increased these holdings. As a consequence the number of holdings in the portfolio decreased from 82 in the prior month to 79 stocks. The portfolio cash remained at about 1% and at month end the portfolio was fully invested. The Fund's bottom-up stock selection resulted in significant non-correlation to the broad market allocations.The top 10 holdings accounted for over 29% of the portfolio. By the end of October the stocks that met the Fund's strategy increased from 6.7% to 10.3% of the liquid stocks on the ASX, which the Fund expects will provide further investment opportunities. Click below to read the latest Fund Manager's commentary on the Fund. |
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3 Nov 2015 - Fund Review: Supervised High Yield Fund September 2015
We would like to highlight the following aspects of the Fund:
- The Supervised High Yield Fund (SHYF) has a 6 year track record investing in fixed interest investments. The Investment strategy aims to deliver returns with zero correlation to equity markets by investing in debt securities with minimal default probability and offering a premium return above the risk free rate.
- The Fund is managed by Philip Carden whose experience in debt and capital markets spans over 32years, including time with JB Were's Capel Court Securities and Macquarie Bank, where he was the Executive Director responsible for the Debt Markets Division.
- SHYF is an Alternative Income fund which invests in Global and Australian debt markets, with all foreign currency receivables hedged back to Australian dollars.
- The Fund utilises a top down analysis of the economic environment and market to screen and identify debt market opportunities which it believes offer low risk with high yield. The next stage is the development of a risk matrix and investment strategy, following which detailed research is undertaken on specific investment opportunities which meet the pre-defined criteria established in the investment strategy.
- Prior to approving an investment for the Fund each potential investment is subject to two stress tests. The first of these is for credit and default risk, in which the investment is stress-tested to ensure that in a worst case economic environment it can repay 100% of its principal and interest obligations case scenario for the asset by examining the highest margin over the risk rate that the investment has previously experienced in a crisis situation. Any decline in value under the stress test that exceeds 10% of the Fund's value is avoided The second test examines market risk. In this case Carden looks at the worst case scenario for the asset by examining the highest margin over the risk rate that the investment has previously experienced in a crisis situation. Any decline in value under the stress test that exceeds 10% of the Fund's value is avoided.
Supervised High Yield Fund AFM Review September 2015 (pdf format)
2 Nov 2015 - Fund Review: Insync Global Titans Fund September 2015
INSYNC GLOBAL TITANS FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Insync Global Titans Fund.
We would like to highlight the following:
- The Fund outperformed its benchmark MSCI All Country World ex-Australia Net Total Return Index ($A) by 1.4%, in September. The performance was driven by positive contributions from our holdings in Microsoft, BAT, Reckitt Benckiser, Nestle and McDonald's. The main negative contributors were Medtronic, Zimmer, eBay and McGraw-Hill. The Fund continues to have no foreign currency hedging in place as Insync consider the main risks to the Australian dollar to be on the downside.
- The Global Titans Fund invests in a concentrated portfolio of 15-30 stocks, targeting exceptional, large cap global companies with a strong focus on dividend growth and downside protection.
- Portfolio selection is driven by a core strategy of investing in companies with sustainable growth in dividends, high returns on capital, positive free cash flows and strong balance sheets.
- Emphasis on limiting downside risk is through extensive company research, the ability to hold cash and long protective index put options.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
31 Oct 2015 - Hedge Clippings
Two sides of the confidence coin
There's little doubt that business conditions are not getting any easier based on a number of results and guidances released this week. The share price of electronics retailer Dick Smith has been savaged following an earnings downgrade; Woolworths continues to struggle to return to the glory days of their dominance over Coles, as well as having to contend with the rise of Aldi; and National Australia Bank's margins in the business loan division appear to be declining sharply.
In spite of this business confidence, based on the NAB's monthly survey of around 350 small, medium and large Australian companies, increased to 5 in September from a score of 1 in August, not-withstanding it remains a long way south of the all-time high of 21 in May 2002, but also well north of the all-time low of -31 in January 2009 during the hiatus of the GFC.
To what extent the rise in business confidence is a result of the change in Prime Minister will no doubt depend on one's own political view, but anecdotal evidence would suggest that the two are strongly correlated. In discussions over the past couple of weeks with a variety of fund managers amongst others, the majority of whom one would safely assume to be variously to the right of centre, the mood appears to be universally positive.
To what extent one person can change the Country's outlook, and even more importantly, to what extent that change will affect the eventual outcome, we will have to wait and see. The pertinent point is that even rusted on Liberal voters were deeply concerned with the direction (or should that just be the diction) of the previous leadership, and it now appears that clear confidence in leadership, and clear direction, might be able to overcome difficult economic conditions.
Given that this week-end we will see the Wallabies in the final of the RWC, when just over 12 months ago they were a leaderless, or badly led rabble, and more generally tagged as the "Woefull Wallabies" there's a great message here. Michael Cheika has shown that properly motivated, the same players playing up at the back of the bus can respond to difficult times, and through hard work and plenty of grunt, turn a potential disaster into the possibility of taking the prize.
Irrespective of the outcome of this week-end's final, pride will have been restored both on and off the paddock, win, lose, or heaven help us, draw.
Specific results received this week include the following PERFORMANCE UPDATES:
Supervised High Yield Fund rose 0.36% in September, to bring annualised performance since inception to 9.91% p.a.
For the month of September COR Capital Fund returned -0.66% to bring it's annualised return since inception to 4.18%.
FUND REVIEWS released this week: Morphic Global Opportunities Fund; Pengana Absolute Return Asia Pacific Fund; APN Asian REIT Fund
And on that note, Go! Wallabies, Go! so that at least on this side of the Tasman we can enjoy the week-end.
Regards,
Chris
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS
Connect with me on LinkedIn Twitter Facebook
|
Registration to AFM is free and provides general information and performance data on Absolute Return, Hedge Funds and Alternative Investments. |
Fund Managers and paid Subscribers have access to details on Individual Managers and Funds, with historical results, key performance indicators, latest news and performance reports. |
Prism Select provides self-directed investors and their advisors with factual information, performance data and opportunity to apply for funds online using OLIVIA123. |
Tune into Sky Business on Foxtel every week on Monday at 2:15pm for AFM's weekly comment. |
30 Oct 2015 - KIS Asia Long Short Fund
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| Fund Overview | Whilst the Fund's primary strategy is focused on long/short equities, the ability to retain discretionary powers to allocate across a number of other investment strategies is reserved. These strategies may include, but not be limited to: convertible bond investments, portfolio hedging, equity related arbitrage, special situations (e.g. merger arbitrage, rights offerings, participation in international public offerings and placements, etc.). The Fund's geographic focus is Asia excluding Japan, but including Australia). The Fund may invest outside of this region to the extent that: 1. The investment decision is driven from the Asian region or; 2. The exposure is intended to mitigate risk or enhance return from factors external to the Asian region. |
| Manager Comments | The Fund's annualised return since inception was 14.91% p.a. In comparison, the AFM Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index has an annualised returned of 2.68% p.a. The Fund has achieved this double-digit performance with lower volatility of 5.50% (Index 9.81%), to give notable Sharpe and Sortino ratios of 1.97 and 4.59 respectively. |
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