Title: GST reform firmly and (finally) on the agenda. What's next?

This week it seems the GST hit the press (and hopefully not the fan) in no uncertain terms. Regular readers of "Hedge Clippings" might recall that an increase (and broadening) of the GST has been one of our hobby horses since before Joe Hockey's first budget, so we'd like to think someone has at last been listening, but we might be deluding ourselves on that count. In any event now it is on the front pages it is probably time for us to move on, and leave it to Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison to battle it out with Bill Shorten. As unfair a match as that might be, we will all be heartily sick of the argument by the time of the next election.

So while reform of taxation is on the table, and reform of superannuation concessions a part of that, it is worth re-visiting the argument for tying Australia's super retirement pool to the need for increased spending on infrastructure. Taking some basic figures, the total value of Superannuation assets as at the end of June was just over $2 trillion. Research from Deloitte estimates that this will reach $7.6 trillion by 2033.

The taxation of treatment of superannuation has always been generous, partly as an incentive to encourage its initial adoption, and partly as a gift from John Howard and Peter Costello to reward the faithful along the way. There's little doubt this generosity will come under pressure in any taxation review, but the government could introduce a part carrot/part stick approach to encourage/enforce a slice of all superannuation accounts to invest in the currently underfunded infrastructure sector.

By setting a minimum percentage of all super balances (say 10%) to be invested in infrastructure bonds, with a low but steady return (say CPI plus 3-5%), with an appropriate taxation incentive for doing so, two objectives might be achieved at once. At 10% of all balances it would provide $200 billion at current levels, increasing to $760 billion by 2033. In reality at those levels there would be a shortage of projects by that time, but there could be worse problems to have.

Airports, roads, rail, water and power projects all come to mind. All it takes will be some vision, then political commitment, and finally electoral acceptance. Hopefully we now have the prospect of enough of all three to generate the debate. 

FUND REVIEWS released this week: Insync Global Titans Fund; Supervised High Yield Fund

Finally we hope you enjoyed this week's Melbourne Cup, and congratulations to the first winning female jockey in the Cup's history. Now for something completely different, this news item regarding the obedient, but not too quick on his feet, bank robber in the USA.

And on that note, I trust you have a safe and enjoyable week-end.

Regards,

Chris
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS

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INSYNC GLOBAL TITANS FUND

ATTACHED FILESInsync Global Titans Fund AFM Fund Review September 2015 (pdf format)

Two sides of the confidence coin

There's little doubt that business conditions are not getting any easier based on a number of results and guidances released this week. The share price of electronics retailer Dick Smith has been savaged following an earnings downgrade; Woolworths continues to struggle to return to the glory days of their dominance over Coles, as well as having to contend with the rise of Aldi; and National Australia Bank's margins in the business loan division appear to be declining sharply.

In spite of this business confidence, based on the NAB's monthly survey of around 350 small, medium and large Australian companies, increased to 5 in September from a score of 1 in August, not-withstanding it remains a long way south of the all-time high of 21 in May 2002, but also well north of the all-time low of -31 in January 2009 during the hiatus of the GFC.

To what extent the rise in business confidence is a result of the change in Prime Minister will no doubt depend on one's own political view, but anecdotal evidence would suggest that the two are strongly correlated. In discussions over the past couple of weeks with a variety of fund managers amongst others, the majority of whom one would safely assume to be variously to the right of centre, the mood appears to be universally positive.

To what extent one person can change the Country's outlook, and even more importantly, to what extent that change will affect the eventual outcome, we will have to wait and see. The pertinent point is that even rusted on Liberal voters were deeply concerned with the direction (or should that just be the diction) of the previous leadership, and it now appears that clear confidence in leadership, and clear direction, might be able to overcome difficult economic conditions.

Given that this week-end we will see the Wallabies in the final of the RWC, when just over 12 months ago they were a leaderless, or badly led rabble, and more generally tagged as the "Woefull Wallabies" there's a great message here. Michael Cheika has shown that properly motivated, the same players playing up at the back of the bus can respond to difficult times, and through hard work and plenty of grunt, turn a potential disaster into the possibility of taking the prize.

Irrespective of the outcome of this week-end's final, pride will have been restored both on and off the paddock, win, lose, or heaven help us, draw.

FUND REVIEWS released this week: Morphic Global Opportunities Fund; Pengana Absolute Return Asia Pacific Fund; APN Asian REIT Fund

And on that note, Go! Wallabies, Go! so that at least on this side of the Tasman we can enjoy the week-end.

Regards,

Chris
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS

Connect with me on LinkedIn Twitter Facebook