NEWS
21 Aug 2017 - 4D Global Infrastructure Fund
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| Fund Overview | The fund will be managed as a single portfolio of listed global infrastructure securities including regulated utilities in gas, electricity and water, transport infrastructure such as airports, ports, road and rail as well as communication assets such as the towers and satellite sectors. The portfolio is intended to have exposure to both developed and emerging market opportunities, with country risk assessed internally before any investment is considered. The maximum absolute position of an individual stock is 7% of the fund. |
| Manager Comments | July's negative performance can largely be attributed to the strength of the A$, which was up 4% in the month. With only 6% of the Fund held in A$, the strength of the currency negatively impacted more than 90% of the portfolio. The Fund's weakest performer for July was US rail operator Norfolk Southern (-7.5%), however, the Manager continues to see fundamental value in this investment. The Fund remains overweight in European user pays and emerging markets, but Bennelong have been reallocating some profits from those regions to increase exposure to quality names in North America which have underperformed year to date. Bennelong's outlook for global listed infrastructure is positive over the medium term, noting that there has been a significant underinvestment in infrastructure around the world over the past 30 years, and that public sector fiscal and debt constraints will limit governments' ability to respond, meaning that there will be an increasing need for private sector capital as part of the funding solution. Bennelong believes that new, improved and expanded infrastructure around the world will be compelled by the world's growing population which will be accompanied by an emerging middle class, particularly in Asia. |
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21 Aug 2017 - Cyan C3G Fund
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| Fund Overview | Cyan C3G Fund is based on the investment philosophy which can be defined as a comprehensive, clear and considered process focused on delivering growth. These are identified through stringent filter criteria and a rigorous research process. The Manager uses a proprietary stock filter in order to eliminate a large proportion of investments due to both internal characteristics (such as gearing levels or cash flow) and external characteristics (such as exposure to commodity prices or customer concentration). Typically, the Fund looks for businesses that are one or more of: a) under researched, b) fundamentally undervalued, c) have a catalyst for re-rating. The Manager seeks to achieve this investment outcome by actively managing a portfolio of Australian listed securities. When the opportunity to invest in suitable securities cannot be found, the manager may reduce the level of equities exposure and accumulate a defensive cash position. Whilst it is the company's intention, there is no guarantee that any distributions or returns will be declared, or that if declared, the amount of any returns will remain constant or increase over time. The Fund does not invest in derivatives and does not use debt to leverage the Fund's performance. However, companies in which the Fund invests may be leveraged. |
| Manager Comments | The Fund's portfolio is diversified across 24 individual holdings with no position accounting for more than 6.5% of the total. The stocks lie across 6 broad industry sectors including consumer staples and discretionary, industrials, health care, technology and financials with a weighted average market cap of approximately $250m. |
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19 Aug 2017 - Fund Review: Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund July 2017
BENNELONG KARDINIA ABSOLUTE RETURN FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review. You are also able to view the Fund's Profile.
- The Fund is long biased, research driven, active equity long/short strategy investing in listed ASX companies with over ten-year track record.
- The Fund has significantly outperformed the ASX200 Accumulation Index since its inception in May 2006 and also has significantly lower risk KPIs. The Fund has an annualised return of 10.74% p.a. with a volatility of 7.06%, compared to the ASX200 Accumulation's return of 5.27% p.a. with a volatility of 13.78%.
- The Fund also has a strong focus on capital protection in negative markets. Portfolio Managers Mark Burgess and Kristiaan Rehder have significant market experience, while Bennelong Funds Management provide infrastructure, operational, compliance and distribution capabilities.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
AFM Fund Review - July 2017 (pdf format)
18 Aug 2017 - Hedge Clippings, 18 August 2017
Reporting season - An opportunity or a threat?
George Colman from ARCO Investment Management (formerly called Optimal Australia) probably summed up reporting season best by referring to it as "the moment of truth". Although the fund had negotiated it well so far, he expected the full season unlikely to be so easy.
Midway into reporting season 2018 and it would seem that Telstra has grabbed the most headlines in the media, and occupied the minds of investors more than most, although whether positively or negatively would depend on their position - long or short.
While many long term retail investors are understandably keen to hold onto their Telstra shares for the (shrinking) dividend, and others may buy it based on its yield, no one could complain the decision to reduce the dividend wasn't well flagged to the market. A payout ratio of 100% was unlikely to be maintained, and Telstra Chairman John Mullen did indicate in a recent interview that if nothing else the issue was one the board was looking at. For the many fund managers who were short the stock it will no doubt be a "told you so" situation, but it does indicate the dangers that investors face as companies delight or disappoint the market.
Particularly so long/short managers who are taking multiple bets, some long, some short, or just to not hold a position in a stock. Not only do they need to get their call correct, there's no guarantee the market will always react to good news positively, or alternately to bad news negatively. Add this to a normally concentrated portfolio, and full year reporting does indeed risk becoming a moment of truth, and not an easy one at that. For those on their game the moment can make them, for those that aren't it can take a while to catch up.
While on the subject of catching up, past mistakes and a lack of judgement regarding issues such as Storm Financial, CommInsure and AUSTRAC all culminated in the board of the CBA taking it one step further for embattled CEO Ian Narev this week, flagging his departure by next July. Any sooner would have smacked of panic and given insufficient time to find a replacement, but following legal action from AUSTRAC, pending investigations from ASIC, and almost unprecedented negative comments from the RBA's Governor Dr Philip Lowe, there was only going to be one outcome for the Kiwi born CEO.
Hedge Clippings assumed that radio host Alan Jones' suggestion today that Narev would be well qualified to take over the CEO's position of the equally inept Wallabies' management was a joke, but on reviewing the article and video it appears not.
Maybe he would indeed be perfect, but would anyone notice a difference?
18 Aug 2017 - Collins St Value Fund
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| Fund Overview | The managers of the fund intend to maintain a concentrated portfolio of investments in ASX listed companies that they have investigated and consider to be undervalued. They will assess the attractiveness of potential investments using a number of common industry based measured, a proprietary in-house model and by speaking with management, industry experts and competitors. Once the managers form a view that an investment offers sufficient upside potential relative to the downside risk, the fund will seek to make an investment. If no appropriate investment can be identified the managers are prepared to hold cash and wait for the right opportunities to present themselves. |
| Manager Comments | At the end of July, stocks in the Fund's portfolio had an average PE ratio of 8.88x versus that of the ASX200 which was 16.88x, indicating the Fund is continuing to trade in line with its objective. The portfolio's cash holdings decreased to 18% from 22% at the end of June. The Manager notes that they continue to be aware of market risks, with particular focus on tax changes on property for foreign investors and the effect of the removal of stamp duty concessions on the construction industry and property prices. |
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15 Aug 2017 - Optimal Australia Absolute Trust
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| Fund Overview | The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns. |
| Manager Comments | Meanwhile the manager's thinking has not changed much from recent months, citing a 'bubble of complacency' along with evidence of consumer mortgage stress (albeit only in certain demographic pockets) despite interest rates at generational lows, with the general consumer slow-down in the June quarter highlighting the broader sensitivity to interest rates. While generally not fans of the Australian consumer economy, the manager benefited from investments in several retail stocks where the discount to their fair value assessment seemed excessive, and where stock prices in the sector had been heavily influenced by short selling, and a deep fear that no local retail business model will survive Amazon's imminent arrival. The Fund's commodity and energy exposure, while small, also generated positive returns, particularly in the emerging lithium sector, while short positions (barring financials) also made a small positive net contribution to performance in July. |
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14 Aug 2017 - Hedge Clippings
A glance in the rear view mirror...
Every so often Hedge Clippings likes to track through our prior meanderings. There are a number of reasons for this - not wanting to repeat oneself too often and thus become tedious is one, or regurgitate last week's views and be considered forgetful, or worse, being another. However now and again we like to check that our weekly gibber is not overly gibberish, and that what we might have written in the past remains relevant.
Of course, if one of our past editions was shown to be completely incorrect we might not highlight the fact. However, in this case we looked at a "Hedge Clippings" from early June when we mentioned, amongst other things, the possibility that North Korea might overstep the mark.
Far be it from us to try to predict who will win the chest beating exercise between North Korea's presidential nutter, Kim Jong-un and his US counterpart, Donald Trump, but it would seem that neither is renowned for stepping back from a fight, even if in Kim's case it is one that numerically only one side can win, while everyone else also loses. However it has finally jolted markets and the VIX out of their low interest rate stupor. Kim cares not a jot for world opinion, and based on his previous rhetoric, Trump not a lot more. However, we would agree with Trump that a line has to be drawn in the sand somewhere, and as previous US administrations have failed to do so, we are reminded of the old saying that "people behave the way they're allowed to".
In the same edition we also commented on the seeming malaise in Australian politics, and this week's decision (or abdication of one) to resolve the same sex marriage question by holding a non binding, non-compulsory, postal opinion poll seems to personify the issue. Without wanting to enter the debate on either side, the process seems to be symptomatic of the current disconnect between business confidence and household sentiment.
Business confidence is high as a result of low interest rates, low inflation, low wages growth,little in the way of labour shortages, and the use of technology to reduce costs. The other side of the coin is that consumer sentiment is low due to high housing costs, low wages growth, uncertain employment prospects, and looming high utility bills. However we suspect that's not all that is troubling the average household. There would seem to be a lack of clear national direction, which is also affecting the widespread optimism that was apparent when Tony Abbott was removed as PM, and could it be a reflection of the fact - or perception - that in reality he's still there pulling strings?
Finally, while on the subject of malaise, a word on corporate governance at the big end of town in a week where it was announced that in the US since the start of the GFC 10 years ago, financial institutions have paid fines totaling US$150 billion for the various misdeeds of management. More correctly the shareholders of those financial institutions have presumably paid the $150 billion in fines. Full marks therefore to the board of the CBA for at least slapping the wrist of a few senior executives. However, in reality, and as one who has spent some considerable time and effort to keep up to date with the AUSTRAC Anti Money Laundering (AML) provisions, those responsible at CBA must have either been asleep on the job, or incompetent, (or both) to have permitted such extensive and long running cash deposits to have occurred right under their noses.
14 Aug 2017 - MHOR Australian Small Cap Fund
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| Fund Overview | MHOR looks for investment that exhibit the following set of characteristics: -Opportunity - to take advantage of growth and positive alignment with industry themes and trends. -Quality business - competitively advantaged product or service offering. -Financial flexibility - appropriately resourced to capture its opportunity. -Management - with the vision and capability to bring it all together. -Fundamentally undervalued. MHOR also considers labour standards, environmental, social and ethical considerations when making investment decisions but only to the extent that these factors impact the assessment of risk or return. The minimum suggested investment timeframe is 3-5 years. |
| Manager Comments | The Fund's stock holdings remained constant over the month at 31, and by month's end cash holdings were marginally higher at 9.2% of NAV. The portfolio continued to exhibit a growth bias and has considerable exposure to smaller undiscovered stocks, which the manager believes are the future growth stories. At the same time they continue to search and find interesting new and emerging small cap equity opportunities. |
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8 Aug 2017 - Fund Review: Optimal Australia Absolute Trust July 2017
OPTIMAL AUSTRALIA ABSOLUTE TRUST
AFM have released the most recently updated Fund Review on the Optimal Australia Absolute Trust.
We would like to highlight the following aspects of the Fund;
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ARCO Investment Management is a specialist Australian equity investment manager and the Fund has a long/short equity strategy typically with a low but variable net market exposure comprising 40 to 65 stocks broadly selected from within the ASX200.
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The investment team comprising George Colman, Peter Whiting, and Stephen Nicholls bring 100 years combined experience in equity markets.
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In July, the Fund returned +0.24%, taking annualised return since inception to 8.12% p.a. The Fund's approach to risk is shown by the Sharpe ratio of 1.32 (Index 0.26), Sortino ratio of 2.71 (Index 0.26), both of which are well above the ASX 200 Accumulation Index and has recorded over 79% positive months.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
AFM Fund Review - July 2017 (pdf format)
8 Aug 2017 - Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund July 2017
BENNELONG TWENTY20 AUSTRALIAN EQUITIES FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund.
- The Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund invests in ASX listed stocks, combining an indexed position in the Top 20 stocks with an actively managed portfolio of stocks outside the Top 20. Construction of the ex-top 20 portfolio is fundamental, bottom-up, core investment style, biased to quality stocks, with a structured risk management approach.
- Mark East, the Fund's Chief Investment Officer, and Keith Kwang, Director of Quantitative Research have over 50 years combined market experience. Bennelong Funds Management (BFM) provides the investment manager, Bennelong Australian Equity Partners (BAEP) with infrastructure, operational, compliance and distribution services.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
AFM Fund Review July 2017 (pdf format)
