NEWS

17 Nov 2017 - Hedge Clippings, 17 November, 2017
Ethics as an option?
Dr Simon Longstaff of The Ethics Centre (formerly the St James Ethics Centre) was quoted this week as saying he felt he'd been trying to sell umbrella's in a drought for the past 30 years, but that maybe it is now starting to drizzle.
Hedge Clippings presumes he means that organisations are starting to understand that ethics are important, and as such his wisdom and advice is now being appreciated - in some quarters - at least more than it was.
It is unfortunate of course that this has probably only come about as a result of some failures and the resulting embarrassment in the banking sector in particular, with the media having a field day with the CBA's money laundering, and various examples of market manipulation and rate rigging amongst the other banks. Suffice to say that if the rules on market manipulation in those markets were the same as insider trading in equities, there'd be some significant "holidays" being handed out by the courts, rather than hefty fines being paid by long suffering shareholders.
It is however a sad reflection on the real world of business that the good Doctor Longstaff and The Ethics Centre even exist. Most intelligent and reasonably educated business people - banker or otherwise - know the difference between right and wrong. The problem is they just don't feel the normal ethical rules apply to them, or that the reward is such that they couldn't care anyway.
We long remember the term "Commercially Naïve" being applied to anyone who put ethics ahead of profitability - and it was not meant as a compliment. That Dr Longstaff is now managing to offload a few of his stock of umbrellas is encouraging, but disconcerting that it is only to avoid the recipient getting wet, rather than not needing one in the first place.

17 Nov 2017 - Performance Report: Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund
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Fund Overview | In a typical environment the Fund will hold around 70 stocks comprising 35 pairs. Each pair contains one long and one short position each of which will have been thoroughly researched and are selected from the same market sector. Whilst in an ideal environment each stock's position will make a positive return, it is the relative performance of the pair that is important. As a result the Fund can make positive returns when each stock moves in the same direction provided the long position outperforms the short one in relative terms. However, if neither side of the trade is profitable, strict controls are required to ensure losses are limited. The Fund uses no derivatives and has no currency exposure. The Fund has no hard stop loss limits, instead relying on the small average position size per stock (1.5%) and per pair (3%) to limit exposure. Where practical pairs are always held within the same sector to limit cross sector risk, and positions can be held for months or years. The Bennelong Market Neutral Fund, with same strategy and liquidity is available for retail investors as a Listed Investment Company (LIC) on the ASX. |
Manager Comments | Performance during the month reflected a broad spread of positive contributions across two thirds of the portfolio. Losing pairs made small contributions with long Ramsay/short Primary and Healthscope the only one of significance. Long BlueScope/short Sims Metal was the biggest contributor driven by a recovery in BlueScope from a depressed level. Elsewhere, AGM trading updates have been broadly positive for the Fund. The Manager's view is that share markets remain well bid at present with improved earnings and sentiment overcoming any valuation concerns from inevitable policy normalisation. They also noted the recent rally in the local market has taken it to the upper bound of its trading range of between 5,000 - 6,000 for the last 4 years. |
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16 Nov 2017 - Performance Report: Cyan C3G Fund
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Fund Overview | Cyan C3G Fund is based on the investment philosophy which can be defined as a comprehensive, clear and considered process focused on delivering growth. These are identified through stringent filter criteria and a rigorous research process. The Manager uses a proprietary stock filter in order to eliminate a large proportion of investments due to both internal characteristics (such as gearing levels or cash flow) and external characteristics (such as exposure to commodity prices or customer concentration). Typically, the Fund looks for businesses that are one or more of: a) under researched, b) fundamentally undervalued, c) have a catalyst for re-rating. The Manager seeks to achieve this investment outcome by actively managing a portfolio of Australian listed securities. When the opportunity to invest in suitable securities cannot be found, the manager may reduce the level of equities exposure and accumulate a defensive cash position. Whilst it is the company's intention, there is no guarantee that any distributions or returns will be declared, or that if declared, the amount of any returns will remain constant or increase over time. The Fund does not invest in derivatives and does not use debt to leverage the Fund's performance. However, companies in which the Fund invests may be leveraged. |
Manager Comments | Positive performers in October included Afterpay Touch (+25%), BlueSky Alternative Investments (+28%), AxsessToday (+11%) and Motorcycle Holdings (+15%). The only detractor was cyber safety business Family Zone (-8%), however, the Manager noted the Fund had been reducing its holding as the stock rose and hence the recent retracement was immaterial to the Fund's overall return. Cyan noted that, in recent months, the small cap market has been conducive to making money and they believe there's no sign of it slowing at this stage. That said, Cyan noted one of their ongoing focal points is the risk/reward metric and they therefore retain a relatively high proportion of cash. The Fund is well diversified, with 22 individual holdings and no position accounting for more than 9% of the total fund. |
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15 Nov 2017 - Performance Report: NWQ Fiduciary Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund aims to produce returns, after management fees and expenses of between 8% to 11% p.a. over rolling five-year periods. Furthermore, the Fund aims to achieve these returns with volatility that is a fraction of the Australian equity market, in order to smooth returns for investors. |
Manager Comments | The Manager noted that following strong performance in September, in which the equity market fell along with the bond market, the 'all weather' strategy of the fund delivered another strong showing in October as the overall market reversed course and rallied strongly. Fund performance was broad based for the month, with strong contributions from both Beta (25% of the portfolio) and Alpha managers (70% of the portfolio). |
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14 Nov 2017 - Performance Report: Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund's discretionary investment strategy commences with a macro view of the economy and direction to establish the portfolio's desired market exposure. Following this detailed sector and company research is gathered from knowledge of the individual stocks in the Fund's universe, with widespread use of broker research. Company visits, presentations and discussions with management at CEO and CFO level are used wherever possible to assess management quality across a range of criteria. Detailed analysis of company valuations using financial statements and forecasts, particularly focusing on free cash flow, is conducted. Technical analysis is used to validate the Manager's fundamental research and valuations and to manage market timing. A significant portion of the Fund's overall performance can be attributed to the attention and importance given to the macro economic outlook and the ability and willingness to adjust the Fund's market risk. |
Manager Comments | Positive performers during the month included BWX, NAB, Westpac, Clean TeQ, Aristocrat and Costa Group. The Manager noted the short book was a small drag on performance given the strong market, although shorts in Fortescue and Perpetual performed well. Detractors included Updater and a short position in Share Price Index Futures which was closed out early in the month. Net equity market exposure, including derivatives, was increased from 22.4% to 65.5% (74.3% long and 8.8% short) as the Manager bought back a short position in Share Price Index Futures and added 10 new positions to the portfolio, including NAB, Westpac and a number of resource stocks. |
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13 Nov 2017 - Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund October 2017
BENNELONG TWENTY20 AUSTRALIAN EQUITIES FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund.
- The Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund invests in ASX listed stocks, combining an indexed position in the Top 20 stocks with an actively managed portfolio of stocks outside the Top 20. Construction of the ex-top 20 portfolio is fundamental, bottom-up, core investment style, biased to quality stocks, with a structured risk management approach.
- Mark East, the Fund's Chief Investment Officer, and Keith Kwang, Director of Quantitative Research have over 50 years combined market experience. Bennelong Funds Management (BFM) provides the investment manager, Bennelong Australian Equity Partners (BAEP) with infrastructure, operational, compliance and distribution services.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.


10 Nov 2017 - Hedge Clippings, 10 November, 2017
A road to nowhere…?
A recent article on the nab asset management website entitled "The Grumpy Australian Consumer" concluded that given the rapid rise in the cost of electricity and health, coupled with subdued income growth and high household debt, Australian consumers are entitled to feel grumpy, and that these pressures can account for the recent retail spending figures as well as the modest performance of the Australian sharemarket in 2017.
The article had a series of excellent charts and tables, the most worrying of which was this one provided by the RBA, and dated March 2017. With household debt having climbed dramatically, and interest payments as a percentage of disposable income having fallen courtesy of low interest rates since 2012, it is not difficult to see the Reserve Bank's dilemma - It won't take much in the way of an increase in interest rates to dramatically increase the percentage of disposable income consumed by mortgage repayments, creating even more grumpy Australians, particularly if consumer confidence remains low.
At least investor confidence has been given a boost recently with the ASX finally touching the 6000 level, albeit still 10% below its all-time high in 2007. TheAustralian market is frequently negatively compared to the S&P500, but it is worth remembering that the ASX delivers Australian shareholders a dividend income of 4%, much of it also having the benefit of franking, whilst US companies distribute just 2.5% to shareholders as dividends.
The NAB article above referred to Leonard Cohen's song Anthem,
"You can add up the parts,
You won't have the sum"
Which is perhaps why we have economists to help us.
In Hedge Clipping's opinion a further reason for Australians to be grumpy, and thus the low levels of consumer confidence, is the lack of direction coming from Canberra, which might be equally summed up by the title of Talking Heads' 1985 hit song "A Road to Nowhere". The title is where the similarity ends, as the words to the song run:
"Well, we know where we're goin'
But we don't know where we've been
And we're not little children, and we know what we want
And the future is certain, give us time to work it out"
Unfortunately, if all the reported talk in Flemington's Birdcage on Derby Day was anything to go by, the words could be changed to:
"Hey, do you know where you're goin'
Do you know where you've been?
And you're not little children, and you should know what we want
And the future's uncertain, you've had time to work it out"
Meanwhile some managers certainly knew where they were going in October, in a strongly rising market.
10 Nov 2017 - Performance Report: Allard Investment Fund
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Fund Overview | Allard's investment approach has remained consistent throughout their history: That is to invest prudently but proactively in well-managed businesses that achieve superior returns on capital in industries with long-term growth potential. The Manager uses both broad top-down guidance and detailed bottom-up analysis to identify suitable markets, industries and companies. Although long only investors, a critical factor in their strategy and performance is the ability to hold cash when they cannot find companies that meet their criteria or are at a sufficient discount to their valuations. |
Manager Comments | The Fund's latest report shows that holdings in cash and fixed income have decreased to 23.0% of the portfolio, down from 23.2% as at the end of September. The portfolio's weightings were decreased in the Industrials, IT, Health Care and Financials sectors while its weightings in the Utilities, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples sectors were increased. The portfolio remains highly concentrated, with 53.2% of NAV held in the Fund's top 10 stocks. Geographically, Hong Kong and China make up most of the portfolio (44%), followed by Singapore (13.9%), India (11.1%), Korea (4.8%), Vietnam (1.6%) and Indonesia (1.6%). |
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10 Nov 2017 - Performance Report: ARCO Absolute Trust (formerly Optimal)
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Fund Overview | The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns. *Formerly the Optimal Australia Absolute Trust |
Manager Comments | Positive performers included Fairfax, CYBG, MQG, ORE, PLS, Link, Caltex and Woolworths. Having recently exited GXY and reduced their position in PLS, the Fund's exposure to the lithium sector is now below 7%. The Fund's short exposure to select banks and other financials were detractors. ARCO also noted portfolio hedging was a drag on returns, however, they continue to believe it is appropriate given current market conditions. The Fund's total market exposure moved to -3.7% by the end of the month. ARCO noted that, at current stock prices, they have become more defensive with the portfolio settings for investors as they seek to protect capital from the higher downside risk of the market. |
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9 Nov 2017 - Performance Report: Paragon Australian Long Short Fund
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Fund Overview | Paragon's unique investment style, comprising thematic led idea generation followed with an in depth research effort, results in a concentrated portfolio of high conviction stocks. Conviction in bottom up analysis drives the investment case and ultimate position sizing: * Both quantitative analysis - probability weighted high/low/base case valuations - and qualitative analysis - company meetings, assessing management, the business model, balance sheet strength and likely direction of returns - collectively form Paragon's overall view for each investment case. * Paragon will then allocate weighting to each investment opportunity based on a risk/reward profile, capped to defined investment parameters by market cap, which are continually monitored as part of Paragon's overall risk management framework. The objective of the Paragon Fund is to produce absolute returns in excess of 10% p.a. over a 3-5 year time horizon with a low correlation to the Australian equities market. |
Manager Comments | Positive contributors included long holdings in the Fund's Electric Vehicle theme (CleanTeq, Kidman and Orocobre) along with Aristocrat, Agrimin, Link Financial, Macquarie, New Century Zinc, Cimic, Wattle Health, Cann Group and Global Energy Ventures. Detractors included Updater, Lend Lease and Lynas. At the end of the month the Fund had 39 long and 15 short positions. Paragon noted that FY18 has commenced strongly, with performance driven by their thematic-led, high-conviction fundamental stock picks delivering as anticipated. Despite several stocks already rerating, Paragon sees attractive risk-reward in these key long positions, along with others yet to rerate boasting near term catalysts and remaining well placed to deliver. |
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