A short week - and an argument for being short the banks, or avoiding ETF's.

It's been a pretty busy week for one with only four working days - in most of Australia at least. Quite how we have a system where the same event - the Queen's Birthday - is celebrated on three different Mondays in either June, September or October depending on which state you're in, is bizarre.  It's no wonder we have a complex tax system if the same bureaucrats and politicians came up with dates for public holidays…

Firstly Trump, who no one thought would make it to the White House in the first place, achieved what many thought was a diplomatic impossibility by shaking hands with Kim Jong-Un and inking the bones of an agreement that none of his more diplomatic predecessors had even dreamed of.

Then Jerome Powell and the US Fed upped US rates by 25 bps, and the markets … did nothing. The RBA, and then the ECB, kept rates on hold, with the latter announcing the end of QE will take place in December. More of the same…

Fresh from Singapore, Trump is tonight scheduled to announce tariffs on $50 billion of Chinese products, which will inevitably lead to an upping of the trade war with both retaliation and rhetoric from China's President Xi Jinping. Watch that space with care.

Meanwhile at home we gave some focus to the banking sector (again) but this time on the big 4 banks' share price declines over the past 12 months, which caused Hedge Clippings to reflect on one of the great flaws in the passive investing approach of ETF's.

Consider this: Over the past 12 months the share price of each of the big four banks has fallen around 20%, whilst Telstra has fallen almost double that.  These five stocks make up just under 30% of the market cap of the ASX200, which in spite of this Famous Five's 12 month performance, has managed to rise approximately 5%.

Any investor in an ASX200 ETF, or even worse in an ASX Top20 ETF, hase, for better or worse (in fact for worse!) had their returns dramatically curtailed as a result. Simply accepting whatever the market as a whole throws at you and justifying the decision on the basis of low fees makes little sense to us.

While we accept that the opposite can occur as well, boutique or concentrated funds which can avoid - or select - individual stocks, sectors or markets by using their skill and experience on a discretionary basis are worth finding and if appropriate, investing in. Certainly some will perform better than others, and not all of them will perform in unison. Whilst possibly biased, we would argue that a diversified portfolio of well researched boutique managers will provide a better return, with lower volatility and risk than the overall market, and its ETF equivalent.

A short week - and an argument for being short the banks, or avoiding ETF's.

It's been a pretty busy week for one with only four working days - in most of Australia at least. Quite how we have a system where the same event - the Queen's Birthday - is celebrated on three different Mondays in either June, September or October depending on which state you're in, is bizarre.  It's no wonder we have a complex tax system if the same bureaucrats and politicians came up with dates for public holidays…

Apologies - where were we?  The busy week that was… Firstly Trump, who no one thought would make it to the White House in the first place, achieved what many thought was a diplomatic impossibility by shaking hands with Kim Jong-Un and inking the bones of an agreement that none of his more diplomatic predecessors had even dreamed of.

Then Jerome Powell and the US Fed upped US rates by 25 bps, and the markets … did nothing. The RBA, and then the ECB, kept rates on hold, with the latter announcing the end of QE will take place in December. More of the same… nothing.

Fresh from Singapore, Trump is tonight scheduled to announce tariffs on $50 billion of Chinese products, which will inevitably lead to an upping of the trade war with both retaliation and rhetoric from China's President Xi Jinping. Watch that space with care.

Meanwhile at home, we gave some focus to the banking sector (again) but this time on the big 4 banks' share price declines over the past 12 months, which caused Hedge Clippings to reflect on one of the great flaws in the passive investing approach of ETF's.

Consider this: Over the past 12 months the share price of each of the big four banks has fallen around 20%, whilst Telstra has fallen almost double that.  These five stocks make up just under 30% of the market cap of the ASX200, which in spite of this Famous Five's 12 month performance, has managed to rise approximately 5%.

Any investor in an ASX200 ETF, or even worse in an ASX Top20 ETF, has, for better or worse (in fact for worse!) had their returns dramatically curtailed as a result. Simply accepting whatever the market as a whole throws at you and justifying the decision on the basis of low fees makes little sense to us.

While we accept that the opposite can occur as well, boutique or concentrated funds which can avoid - or select - individual stocks, sectors or markets by using their skill and experience on a discretionary basis are worth finding and if appropriate, investing in. Certainly some will perform better than others, and not all of them will perform in unison. Whilst possibly biased, we would argue that a diversified portfolio of well researched boutique managers will provide a better return, with lower volatility and risk, than the overall market and therefore a passive ETF.

BENNELONG KARDINIA ABSOLUTE RETURN FUND

Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review. You are also able to view the Fund's Profile.

• The Fund is long biased, research driven, active equity long/short strategy investing in listed ASX companies with over ten-year track record. 

• The Fund has significantly outperformed the ASX200 Accumulation Index since its inception in May 2006 and also has significantly lower risk KPIs. The Fund has an annualised return of 10.67% p.a. with a volatility of 6.91%, compared to the ASX200 Accumulation's return of 5.69% p.a. with a volatility of 13.44%.

• The Fund also has a strong focus on capital protection in negative markets. Portfolio Managers Mark Burgess and Kristiaan Rehder have significant market experience, while Bennelong Funds Management provide infrastructure, operational, compliance and distribution capabilities.

For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.

Australian Fund Monitors

ATTACHED FILESAFM Fund Review - May 2018 (pdf format)

Towards the end of each week we seek inspiration (that's probably a slight exaggeration - maybe "ponder" describes it better) for the subject matter of the weekly Hedge Clippings email. It is a sad reflection on the current state of financial markets that for the past couple of months we have become somewhat predictable, as the antics of bankers and other sectors of the financial services industry have dominated the commentary.

The list has been extensive, headlined by AMP, plus NAB, CBA in multiple guises, and the overall vertical integration structure of product distribution and sales masquerading as independent advice. The boardroom ranks of AMP in particular have been thinned out significantly as reputations have fallen by the wayside, and the damage has either been reputational, or borne by shareholders.

This week has seen the significant extra bite of criminal charges being laid against senior banking executives, including one chairman, at the top end of town amongst Citi, Deutsche, and ANZ over an underwriting shortfall. The problem with financial penalties, even those as large as the $700 million levied on CBA by AUSTRAC's for breaching AML regulations, is that generally speaking it is the shareholders who pay the price. Even then, unless the dividend is cut as a result, there is little pain in investors' hip pockets at the end of the day. That's all changed and the message will have been sent loud and clear not only in this case but to all boardrooms.

Some readers may have noticed that Hedge Clippings has joined none other than the Treasurer, Scott Morrison, in previously suggesting that the potential for an enforced "holiday" would be the ultimate deterrent for serious corporate wrongdoing in the banking sector. Without wishing to prejudice the outcome of this particular case, it will be a serious wake-up call to all executives and directors who elect to sail close to the wind based on "normal practice".

Passing on a hefty fine to shareholders is one thing. Taking the risk of getting one's reputation pinged by the regulator even - but the thought of packing one's toothbrush and being introduced to a new diet (and room-mate) will undoubtedly sharpen some directors' sense of priority - and self-perseveration.

In 1756 at the start of the seven years' war the British executed Admiral Byng for "failure to do his utmost" to avoid defeat at the hands of the French fleet in the Mediterranean. When a French Admiral was asked why, and if this was not a little harsh, he responded it was "pour encourager les autres" - to encourage the others.

Whatever the outcome of the upcoming court case over ANZ Bank's underwriting shortfall, there's no doubt the message has been sent to "discourager les autres".

INSYNC GLOBAL TITANS FUND

Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Insync Global Titans Fund.

We would like to highlight the following:

• The Global Titans Fund invests in a concentrated portfolio of 15-30 stocks, targeting exceptional, large cap global companies with a strong focus on dividend growth and downside protection.

• Portfolio selection is driven by a core strategy of investing in companies with sustainable growth in dividends, high returns on capital, positive free cash flows and strong balance sheets.

• Emphasis on limiting downside risk is through extensive company research, the ability to hold cash and long protective index put options.

For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.

Australian Fund Monitors

ATTACHED FILESAFM Fund Review - April 2018 (pdf format)