NEWS

13 Aug 2018 - Creditcorp: under promising and over delivering

10 Aug 2018 - Hedge Clippings, 10 August, 2018
Are we becoming immune to poor corporate governance?
It would be unfair to call it boring, but the Hayne Royal Commission (HRC) is becoming so repetitive it's almost predictable, so much so that it's losing its shock factor.
Misdeeds at the big end of the financial system? So what? We all either knew that, or suspected it, and by now we have heard it all (or much the same) before. No wonder the banks fought so hard against the RC being established in the first place.
In any other area, the charging of fees for no service would be called for what it is - a SCAM. If perpetrated by an individual advisor they'd be struck off in quick time. But at executive and board level different rules obviously apply. The key point going forward is not how much financial pain is inflicted on executives via lost or reduced bonuses, or penalties on the banks themselves (which of course flow on to shareholders), but the potential for criminal charges to be laid.
That, to excuse the pun, might help to arrest the problem.
Whilst this might seem extreme, the reality is that theft has occurred, deliberately, knowingly, and frequently - and worse still more often than not at the expense of those most vulnerable, both as a result of their lack of financial interest or knowledge, or those least likely to be able to afford it in terms of their financial security in the future.
What is astounding is that, like at AMP, the senior ranks of the banks such as CBA and NAB knew of the theft, and did nothing to fix it - even worse, NAB did whatever they could to obfuscate to protect their position, including asking Mr Hayne to keep it confidential.
Nothing will focus their minds more than the prospect of some quiet, reflective time in a green uniform, with set meal times, and limited visiting hours.
CEO's and chairmen (and women, although there's been little apology we can recall from AMP's previous Chair) may apologise' but saying sorry is one thing. Changing the systemic cultural and operational problems are another.
By contrast, Australian Super's Mr Silk gave a "smooth as" performance, partly as a result of what seemed to be a less severe interrogation, itself quite possibly because there have been fewer misdemeanours uncovered on his watch. We'd still like to see the HRC delve into where the fees behind industry super flow - over and above purchasing shares in the New Daily. That problem's unlikely to resolved while the boards and trustees of industry funds are not required to have independent members.
Unfortunately the superannuation pie is so large, so opaque, and in many respects so distant from the majority of contributors and beneficiaries that it is going to take some serious government intervention to change the current malpractices. And while talking of change, with an election looming in less than a year from now, it's likely the "for profit" sector is likely to be firmly in Canberra's sights, while the "industry" sector will remain as opaque as ever.
Pity the poor punter!

10 Aug 2018 - High on Fibre, Low on NBN

10 Aug 2018 - Performance Report: Touchstone Index Unaware Fund
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Fund Overview | The portfolio is constructed using Touchstone's Quality-At-a-Reasonable-Price ('QARP') investment process. QARP is a fundamental bottom-up process, however, it also incorporates a top-down risk management framework designed to successfully manage the portfolio during varying market conditions and economic cycles. The Touchstone Fund is concentrated, typically holding between 15-20 stocks. No individual stock will ever make up more than 10% of the portfolio at any one time. The Investment Manager may temporarily exceed the exposure limits of the Fund occasionally, particularly during periods of market volatility, to allow for holdings in excess of this 10% limit where the increase in value of the underlying security is due to market movement. The Fund may also hold between 0-50% of the portfolio in cash. The Fund has a high level of associated risk, therefore, the minimum suggested investment time-frame is 5 years. |
Manager Comments | At the end of the month the Fund held 21 stocks with an median position size of 4.4%. Overall, the portfolio's holdings had an average price/earnings of 15.7, EPS growth of 15.7%, tangible ROE of 22.5% and dividend yield of 4.8%. The Touchstone Index Unaware Fund primarily selects stocks from the S&P/ASX 300 Index and typically holds 10-30 stocks. It seeks to invest in reasonably priced, good quality companies with a significant share of expected returns coming from sustainable dividends. |
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9 Aug 2018 - 25% further downside for Telstra?

8 Aug 2018 - THE MAGIC FLUTING: CREATING SUSTAINABLE VALUE IN EUROPEAN PACKAGING

7 Aug 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund's discretionary investment strategy commences with a macro view of the economy and direction to establish the portfolio's desired market exposure. Following this detailed sector and company research is gathered from knowledge of the individual stocks in the Fund's universe, with widespread use of broker research. Company visits, presentations and discussions with management at CEO and CFO level are used wherever possible to assess management quality across a range of criteria. Detailed analysis of company valuations using financial statements and forecasts, particularly focusing on free cash flow, is conducted. Technical analysis is used to validate the Manager's fundamental research and valuations and to manage market timing. A significant portion of the Fund's overall performance can be attributed to the attention and importance given to the macro economic outlook and the ability and willingness to adjust the Fund's market risk. |
Manager Comments | The Fund fell -0.77% in June, hurt by Bennelong's cautious positioning in response to escalating trade tensions. Positive contributors included Macquarie Group (+34bp contribution), Whitehaven Coal (+29bp), CYBG (+22bp), ANZ (+19bp) and Costa Group (+16bp). A short position in Share Price Index Futures (-152bp contribution) was the biggest detractor for the month given the strong market. The individual short book (-38bp) also detracted from performance, with shorts in energy, consumer and REIT stocks all contributing negatively. Other detractors included long positions in Ausdrill (-50bp), Mineral Resources (-25bp), APA Group (-21bp) and Netwealth (-17bp). Net equity market exposure (including derivatives) was increased late in the month from 12.9% to 40.3% (82.1% long and 41.8% short), with the addition of A2 Milk, ANZ, Magellan, Westpac and Xero, and a reduction in the Fund's short position in Share Price Index Futures contracts as well as some bond proxy and consumer stocks. Bennelong noted this was partly offset by the sale of Ausdrill, Janus Henderson, Kidman Resources and RCR Tomlinson. |
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6 Aug 2018 - Tomas Capital Annual Letter

6 Aug 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Concentrated Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The overriding objective of the Concentrated Australian Equities Fund is to seek investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings, while satisfying our stringent quality criteria. Bennelong's investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis together with proprietary investment tools which are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The portfolio typically consists of 20-35 high-conviction stocks from the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to ASX-listed securities. Derivative instruments are mainly used to replicate underlying positions and hedge market and company specific risks. |
Manager Comments | The Fund returned +13.81% over the quarter, outperforming the Index by +5.34%. The Fund benefited from strong returns from some of its largest holdings; CSL, Reliance Worldwide and Aristocrat Leisure. Bennelong noted these names typify the kind of stocks in which they seek to invest, all are high quality growth companies that proved again this quarter to have better than expected earnings prospects. The Fund is a concentrated portfolio of BAEP's highest conviction stock ideas. It is 'index unaware' and thus able to avoid large benchmark weights if considered appropriate. Over the quarter the Fund's underweight position in the banking sector (less than 1% of the portfolio) contributed to relative performance. |
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3 Aug 2018 - Hedge Clippings, 3 August 2018
David Murray takes (yet another) tilt at ASIC
David Murray's antipathy towards ASIC goes back a long way so it was always going to be interesting to see if he would temper his comments once he took the chair at AMP.
Far from being conciliatory, this week he upped the argument considerably, whilst conveniently forgetting, or more correctly ignoring, the fact that AMP's track record with the regulator is less than exemplary.
For example, the chairman and board lying to ASIC is not something one would really like to have on one's corporate tombstone - or CV.
Neither is charging investors for services not received, nor consistently favouring in-house and underperforming products, and thereby making a mockery of the term "independent financial advice".
One presumes that David Murray's approach to ASIC follows the line that the best form of defence is "attack, attack, attack", or that other well tried defence, "deny, deny, deny".
There's no doubting that the level of compliance and regulation required by ASX listed companies (and unlisted ones if it comes to that) is significantly greater than it once was, but how each one implements ASIC's guidance can vary from company to company. What is quite obvious is that AMP's previous chair and the board took a very detailed and hands-on approach to management, and as the record shows, quite simply failed in the execution.
Going forward expect more entrenched criticism of ASIC from David Murray, but what will now be interesting will be who he appoints as CEO, and how they both manage to change the culture, practice and business model at AMP (assuming Murray intends to do so).
The market and the AMP share price will no doubt tell the story over time.
Meanwhile, next week sees a resumption of the Hayne Royal Commission, this time around focusing on the Superannuation sector. No one is likely to be surprised (although they might be shocked) at the revelations that will no doubt be exposed.