NEWS

8 Nov 2018 - When the Bear Trips, How Hard Does It Fall?

8 Nov 2018 - Performance Report: Wheelhouse Global Equities Income Fund
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Fund Overview | To pursue this objective, the Investment Manager is responsible for actively managing, monitoring and tailoring the integration of derivative contracts alongside the Morningstar Portfolio, while taking into account changing market and stock specific conditions. The Investment Manager is responsible for maximising the structural benefits of short option positions (lowered Volatility, improved capital preservation, higher income generation), whilst mitigating, minimising and monitoring the structural negatives (variable market exposure, option expiries, collateral management and asymmetric return profiles). In addition, long derivatives positions are also used to enhance the capital preservation characteristics of the Fund in more extreme market movements. As a consequence of the integration of Derivatives, returns of the strategy, intra-cycle, are expected to vary from the underlying Morningstar Portfolio due to these characteristics. For example in weak markets, or in extended sideways markets, the Fund is expected to outperform relative to the Morningstar Portfolio. Conversely in strong positive markets the Fund is expected to underperform. |
Manager Comments | The Manager believes that the tailwinds that supported growth in global markets over the quarter, such as robust US earnings growth driven by the Trump tax cuts, continued accommodative monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve, and US technology sector outperformance, appear to be slowing. They noted that, as tailwinds become headwinds, the value of strategies that can both protect capital and deliver an income-driven source of real return will likely increase, particularly for investors that require a regular source of both income and real-return to fund their living expenses. The Wheelhouse Global Equity Income Fund is designed to deliver equity returns with higher income generation and active downside protection. As at the end of September, the Fund's performance was broadly in line with equities, outperforming for the year-to-date, but dragging a little in the September quarter. |
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7 Nov 2018 - Performance Report: DS Capital Growth Fund
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Fund Overview | The investment team looks for industrial businesses that are simple to understand; they generally avoid large caps, pure mining, biotech and start-ups. They also look for: - Access to management; - Businesses with a competitive edge; - Profitable companies with good margins, organic growth prospects, strong market position and a track record of healthy dividend growth; - Sectors with structural advantage and barriers to entry; - 15% p.a. pre-tax compound return on each holding; and - A history of stable and predictable cash flows that DS Capital can understand and value. |
Manager Comments | DS Capital noted that, during the quarter, they were focused on earnings results. Their view is that, although business conditions were reasonable, it remained challenging to find organic growth and outlook commentary was cautious. Positive contributors included NEXTDC, Baby Bunting and Seek. Detractors included Eclipx and Experience Co. DS Capital sold their holdings in Baby Bunting and Seek, however, they noted they continue to like Seek and will look to reinvest at an appropriate time. The Fund's cash level ranged between 20% - 25% over the quarter. DS Capital noted the risk of a trade war continues to influence investors and will take time to play out. Domestically, they are monitoring deterioration in business conditions after July's political turmoil and the decision by some major banks to lift mortgage rates. They are also watching for signs of accelerating inflation that, together with resulting higher interest rates, will have various implications for asset markets. They also believe the Australian dollar is likely to remain under pressure as further rate rises are expected in the US while Australian rates remain flat. |
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6 Nov 2018 - Identitii - The baby in the bathwater

5 Nov 2018 - Fund Performance - How Averages Don't Tell the Full Story

5 Nov 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Bennelong Australian Equities Fund seeks quality investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings. The investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with proprietary investment tools that are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The investment team manages an extensive company/industry contact program which helps identify and verify various investment opportunities. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to the ASX-listed securities. The Fund typically holds between 25-60 stocks with a maximum net targeted position of an individual stock of 6%. |
Manager Comments | Over the September quarter the Fund returned -2.3% versus the Index's +1.5%. In light of this, Bennelong emphasised that, over time, the quarter-to-quarter performances of the Fund have averaged out to provide clients with very attractive returns and expect that the Fund will continue to do so going forward. Overall, the companies in the portfolio reported strong results and gave reasonable guidance; one of the largest contributors for the quarter, and the largest portfolio position, was CSL Limited. However, in the case of a number of the Fund's larger positions, the market nevertheless reacted negatively which weighed heavily on the Fund's returns. Key detractors over the quarter included Costa Group, Flight Centre and Aristocrat Leisure. Read the Fund's latest quarterly report for their in-depth analysis and outlook for each of these companies. Bennelong noted they increased the Fund's weightings in Costa Group and Flight Centre during the quarter and remain invested in Aristocrat Leisure. Bennelong have neither a bearish or bullish outlook on the market. They see Australian equities to be relatively attractive, however, they still believe there is the need to remain selective. They remain constructive on the market for the following reasons - stock fundamentals look solid, valuations are relatively attractive and investor sentiment is supportive. They also believe there is always a need to be diligent and manage risk and thus have ensured the portfolio is well positioned on a risk/return basis. |
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2 Nov 2018 - Hedge Clippings - 02 November, 2018
Hedge Clippings was in Melbourne earlier this week, and amongst other things attended Super Ratings' Annual Superannuation Fund Conference and Awards. As our readers would know, Hedge Clippings and www.fundmonitors.com has a focus on the managed fund sector, rather than superannuation funds, but for obvious reasons there's a strong alignment, or at least a common area of interest, between the two.
It was, as usual, a well organised, informative and interesting event. Labelled the Super Ratings "Day of Confrontation", it featured presentations from the CEO of Richmond Football Club, and also the new Assistant Treasurer, the Hon. Stuart Robert MP, who looked and sounded somewhat familiar. Although yours truly couldn't quite place him, we put that down to his relatively recent appointment following the unfortunate shenanigans within the Liberal Party.
Mr Robert was certainly forthright, and a strong proponent of choice when it came to employees being able to select where their superannuation contributions were directed. Just as well, for we also heard there are 622 superannuation products available in Australia and NZ, that 28% of accounts have balances of less than $10,000, and that one quarter of them are unsustainable.
As one of the panel speakers commented, 40% of the population have literacy levels that make understanding issues difficult, and financial illiteracy levels are double that. One was left wondering if member choice is actually a good thing, but as the majority of those in the room were from industry super funds, Hedge Clippings thought it wise not to raise that question - at least not out loud.
Mr Robert seemed to be on a verbal roll (he is a politician after all), but then surprisingly seemed to contradict himself by saying the best place to have been invested over the past 10 years would have been in an ASX Index ETF, which of course requires no active investment skills at all and would have lost 6% in October alone. This point was no doubt not well received by the assembled audience of award winning super fund managers and trustees, but we assume they too were too polite to question his judgement in this regard.
However, while we all like the idea of choice, it is not necessarily beneficial, particularly taking some of the points above; 622 products is one hell of a choice, especially if financial literacy is at best a rare commodity, and more than a quarter of accounts have balances of less than $10,000. One would have thought all those accounts could be collectively managed by the Future Fund, at minimal cost (or zero fees), whose returns have been close to double that of the average industry or for-profit super fund.
As noted above, we had trouble placing the strongly opinionated Assistant Treasurer, the Hon Stuart Robert. However, he seemed to pop up all over the place later in the week at all sorts of presentations and events, all in front (and centre) of the media. Eventually Uncle Google came to our rescue with this link.
He's the MP with a Masters Degree in Information Technology who has been charging the tax payer around $2,000 a month in home internet usage, totalling almost $38,000. We presume he had a choice of internet service provider, but judging by the cost, didn't do his research very well.

2 Nov 2018 - Track Record - The Analyst's Friend or Foe?

2 Nov 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund's discretionary investment strategy commences with a macro view of the economy and direction to establish the portfolio's desired market exposure. Following this detailed sector and company research is gathered from knowledge of the individual stocks in the Fund's universe, with widespread use of broker research. Company visits, presentations and discussions with management at CEO and CFO level are used wherever possible to assess management quality across a range of criteria. Detailed analysis of company valuations using financial statements and forecasts, particularly focusing on free cash flow, is conducted. Technical analysis is used to validate the Manager's fundamental research and valuations and to manage market timing. A significant portion of the Fund's overall performance can be attributed to the attention and importance given to the macro economic outlook and the ability and willingness to adjust the Fund's market risk. |
Manager Comments | The Fund's return in September of -1.93% was impacted significantly by holdings in CSL and Aristocrat which offset good performance in mining stocks. Top contributors included Whitehaven Coal (+34bp contribution), Seven Group (+30bp), Rio Tinto (+29bp), Computershare (+10bp) and Independence Group (+9bp). Detractors included CSL (-60bp), Aristocrat Leisure (-41bp), Afterpay Touch (-24bp) and Qantas (-17bp). Net equity market exposure was decreased from 55.2% to 29.9% (64.5% long and 34.5% short), with the key changes being the sale of Viva Energy and Afterpay Touch, a lower weighting in CSL, and new short positions in financial and infrastructure stocks and Share Price Index Futures. |
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1 Nov 2018 - Performance Report: Insync Global Capital Aware Fund
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Fund Overview | Insync employs four simple screens to narrow the universe of over 40,000 listed companies globally to a focus group of high quality companies that it believes have the potential to consistently grow their profits and dividends. These screens are size of the company, balance sheet performance, valuation and dividend quality. Companies that pass this due diligence process are then valued using dividend discount models, free cash flow yield and proprietary implied growth and expected return models. The end result is a high conviction portfolio of typically 15-30 stocks. The principal investments will be in shares of companies listed on international stock exchanges (including the US, Europe and Asia). The Fund may also hold cash, derivatives (for example futures, options and swaps), currency contracts, American Depository Receipts and Global Depository Receipts. The Fund may also invest in various types of international pooled investment vehicles. At times, Insync may consider holding higher levels of cash if valuations are full and it is difficult to find attractive investment opportunities. When Insync believes markets to be overvalued, it may hold part of its resources in cash, or use derivatives as a way of reducing its equity exposure. Insync may use options, futures and other derivatives to reduce risk or gain exposure to underlying physical investments. The Fund may purchase put options on market indices or specific stocks to hedge against losses caused by declines in the prices of stocks in its portfolio. |
Manager Comments | In September the Fund returned -1.03% after fees and protection. Top contributors included Boston Scientific, Stryker Corp, Visa and Twenty-First Century Fox. The main negative contributors were Heineken, S&P Global, PayPal and Facebook. The Fund continues to have no foreign currency hedging in place as Insync consider the main risks to the Australian dollar to be on the downside. Insync continues to utilise 'out of the money' index put options to buffer sharp falls in equity markets for the protected option of the fund. Insync noted they maintain a positive outlook on their stock holdings. They believe the Fund's holdings will continue to benefit from global 'Megatrends' despite trade wars and rate rises. Insync's valuation approach, which seeks to capture the long-term growth of these companies, continues to show a valuation discount. Should markets continue to perform well, the portfolio of stocks will participate in the rally. However, more importantly, if the market suffers a significant correction then the Fund has a downside strategy in place. |
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